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Prediction published on Aug 14, 2026 11:05 AM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Aug 14, 2026 11:05 AM
Kalmar FF welcome Hammarby IF on August 16, 2026, for an Allsvenskan matchday 17 contest between teams occupying very different positions. Kalmar sit 11th after an uneven campaign, while Hammarby are second and looking to strengthen their place among the league’s leading sides. The hosts have managed only one victory across their last five matches, but their visitors also arrive with mixed recent results after losing in European competition. Season-long numbers favour Hammarby, although the narrow win probabilities—Kalmar 38%, draw 25% and Hammarby 37%—underline how competitive this fixture could be.
Kalmar FF have recorded five wins, three draws and eight defeats in the Allsvenskan this season. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per league match, figures that help explain why they are currently 11th. Their latest five games have produced one victory, two draws and two losses, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 allowed. That recent defensive rate will be a concern before facing the division’s second-placed team.
Kalmar’s most recent result was a 3-2 defeat against IFK Göteborg on August 9. Charlie Rosenqvist gave the team an early lead with a goal inside the opening nine minutes, but Kalmar could not turn that advantage into a positive result. The match continued a spell in which they have found the net regularly but have also struggled to keep opponents out.
There are nevertheless encouraging attacking trends for the home side. Kalmar have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home matches, suggesting that they frequently create enough opportunities to contribute to the scoreline in front of their supporters. Their games also tend to become active early: over 0.5 first-half goals have been recorded in 19 of their previous 21 matches and in 18 of their last 20 at home. In addition, both teams scored during the first half in each of Kalmar’s last four Allsvenskan fixtures.
The immediate challenge is to combine that attacking consistency with greater defensive control. With two defeats in their latest five matches and 1.8 goals conceded per game during that sequence, Kalmar cannot rely solely on scoring. They will need to manage the contest more effectively across both halves if they are to improve on a head-to-head record that has recently favoured Hammarby.
Hammarby IF enter the fixture in second place after collecting nine wins, three draws and four defeats in the Allsvenskan. Their league averages are particularly notable: 2.3 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match. Compared with Kalmar’s season figures, those numbers show a stronger balance between attacking production and defensive resistance.
The visitors’ latest result was a 1-0 home defeat against Raków Częstochowa on August 13. That loss came in the return leg of the Europa Conference League qualifying third round and completed a 1-0 aggregate elimination. Hammarby must now respond quickly as attention returns to domestic competition. Before that European setback, their previous league outing ended in a convincing 3-0 home victory over Häcken.
Across Hammarby’s last five matches in all competitions, they have registered one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal both scored and conceded. Those recent figures are less commanding than their Allsvenskan record, so the visitors cannot assume that their league position will automatically translate into control of this game. Their task is also complicated by the short turnaround following Thursday’s European fixture.
Even so, the longer-term league trends remain impressive. Hammarby’s last 28 Allsvenskan matches have all featured at least one second-half goal, as have their last 14 away games in the competition. The same pattern has occurred in 37 of their previous 40 matches across all competitions. Furthermore, 20 of Hammarby’s last 21 league fixtures have produced more than 1.5 total goals. These sequences point towards a game that may continue to develop after the interval rather than being settled entirely by its opening phase.
The season statistics give Hammarby the stronger overall profile. They are nine places above Kalmar, have won four more league matches and possess superior scoring and defensive averages. Kalmar, however, have regularly found the net at home, and their 38% win probability is marginally higher than Hammarby’s 37%, with the draw assessed at 25%. Those percentages indicate that the matchup is more balanced than the league positions alone might suggest.
Recent head-to-head results provide another important point of reference. Hammarby won the latest meeting 2-0 on July 12, 2026. Across the stated head-to-head summary from Kalmar’s perspective, the record stands at no wins, one draw and four defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Hammarby have therefore held a clear advantage in this sequence, while Kalmar must find a way to improve both their chance creation and defensive output compared with those previous encounters.
Several statistical trends suggest that the timing of the goals could be central. Kalmar’s recent matches frequently feature first-half scoring, whereas Hammarby’s league games have consistently produced second-half goals. The overall goal data also points towards an open possibility: Both Teams To Score—Yes is rated at 57%, while over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54%. Those figures fit with Kalmar’s reliable home scoring record, Hammarby’s 2.3-goal league average and the hosts’ recent defensive difficulties.
Kalmar will aim to use home advantage to disrupt the second-placed visitors, but they need a more complete performance than the one delivered in the 3-2 loss to IFK Göteborg. Hammarby, meanwhile, must put their European elimination behind them and rediscover the domestic form that produced a 3-0 win over Häcken. The visitors have the stronger season record and the better recent head-to-head history, yet Kalmar’s home scoring sequence means this Allsvenskan fixture should not be viewed as straightforward.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Kalmar
Hammarby
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1