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Prediction published on Mar 7, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Mar 7, 2026 6:01 PM
The Turkish Super Lig continues with a crucial encounter as Kayserispor host Trabzonspor in Matchday 25. The stakes could not be higher: while the home side fights to escape the relegation zone, the visitors aim to strengthen their grip on a European qualification spot. The contrast in form and ambition sets the stage for a tense and potentially decisive clash in the league’s late-season drama.
Kayserispor enter this fixture in desperate need of points. Sitting 17th in the Super Lig standings, they have collected only 20 points so far, with a record of 3 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Gençlerbirliği on March 1, 2026, a result that did little to ease their relegation worries. The team’s offensive struggles remain evident, averaging just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.8 on average.
In their last five matches, Kayserispor have managed only one victory, alongside two draws and two losses. They have scored a mere 0.4 goals per match during this stretch, while allowing 1.2. Their inability to start games strongly is also notable — they have failed to lead at half time in 26 of their last 27 league fixtures. Moreover, at least one team failed to score before the break in 30 of their last 32 matches, underlining the low-scoring nature of their first halves.
Despite these struggles, Kayserispor have shown some resilience in the second half of games, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 26 of their last 29 league encounters. However, their lack of cutting edge in attack continues to be their biggest obstacle to survival. Facing one of the league’s most prolific sides, they will need a near-perfect performance to secure a positive result.
Trabzonspor arrive in Kayseri full of confidence and momentum. The Black Sea Storm currently occupy 3rd place in the Super Lig table, boasting 15 wins, 6 draws, and only 3 defeats. Their attacking power has been a defining feature of their campaign, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match while conceding just 1.2. The team’s recent form is particularly impressive, with four wins in their last five outings and an average of 2.8 goals scored per game.
In their most recent match, Trabzonspor defeated İstanbul Başakşehir 4-2 on March 3, 2026, extending their winning streak to three consecutive games. They have now scored in each of their last 13 league fixtures, with over 1.5 total goals recorded in all of them. Their attacking consistency and ability to dominate away from home make them one of the most dangerous sides in the competition.
Historically, Trabzonspor have also enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In the last head-to-head meeting on October 3, 2025, they cruised to a 4-0 victory. Overall, in the last five encounters between the two sides, Trabzonspor have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding 0.8. With their current form and superior firepower, they will be confident of repeating that success.
This matchup pits one of the league’s most potent attacks against one of its weakest defenses. Kayserispor have conceded 43 goals this season — the second-highest total in the league — and now face a Trabzonspor side that has scored 48. The visitors’ offensive rhythm and efficiency in front of goal could prove decisive once again, especially given the hosts’ tendency to fade in the second half.
For Kayserispor, the key will be to stay compact and disciplined early on, as they have often struggled to recover after conceding first. Their inability to take the lead before halftime could again leave them chasing the game. On the other hand, Trabzonspor’s recent habit of leading at halftime in their last three away matches suggests they will look to impose their tempo from the start.
Given the statistical trends, this fixture is likely to produce goals. Both teams have been involved in matches with over 1.5 goals consistently, and with Trabzonspor’s attacking form, another high-scoring affair seems probable. However, the gulf in quality and confidence between the two sides points toward an away victory.
Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor prediction by BetMines:
Trabzonspor win (2) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0