Kazakhstan host Slovakia at Astana Arena on November 16, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 local time. This final Group C3 fixture in the UEFA Nations League brings together teams with very different campaigns. Slovakia have secured first place and promotion to League B, while Kazakhstan are set to finish bottom after going winless in the group. There is little at stake in the standings, but the meeting still offers an intriguing contrast: Slovakia arrive on an eight-match unbeaten run, whereas Kazakhstan have won two of their last three encounters with these opponents. Both sides also have scoring records that could shape the contest.

Kazakhstan's Recent Form and Key Stats

Kazakhstan return home after a 2-1 defeat against Moldova on November 13. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two draws and three losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceding 1.8. Their UEFA Nations League record follows the same pattern: no wins, two draws and three defeats, with the same averages for goals scored and allowed. Three of their defeats have come in the last four matches, leaving them with a difficult task against the group leaders.

The results have been disappointing, but Kazakhstan have continued to find goals. They have failed to score only once in their last 10 games, and each of their previous three meetings with Slovakia has featured a Kazakhstan goal. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of Kazakhstan's last 11 matches. That sequence concerns goals by both teams combined, rather than Kazakhstan's own tally, but it does show that their recent games have rarely been scoreless or settled by a single goal.

The early stages have been a particular concern for the hosts. Kazakhstan have been behind at half-time in each of their last three matches, including their last three home fixtures in the UEFA Nations League. Against a Slovakia side that has been scoring freely, avoiding another slow start could be important. Kazakhstan can nevertheless take some confidence from their head-to-head record: they have won two of the three meetings with Slovakia, although the teams' latest encounter finished 2-1 on September 29.

Slovakia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Slovakia enter the final round as Group C3 winners, with promotion to League B already confirmed. Their latest result was a 2-2 home draw against the Faroe Islands on November 13. That extended their unbeaten run to eight matches, three of which have ended level. In their most recent five games, Slovakia have three wins and two draws, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their Nations League record stands at three wins and two draws from five fixtures.

Goals have been a consistent feature of Slovakia's run. They have scored at least twice in seven of their last eight matches, a record that gives them reason for confidence against hosts conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in this competition. Slovakia also won their latest away match 4-0 against Moldova. With first place settled, the question here is whether they can maintain that attacking output in a game that will not change their position in the group.

At the other end, Slovakia have kept only three clean sheets across their eight-match unbeaten stretch. Their shutout against Moldova was encouraging, but they have conceded in all three meetings with Kazakhstan. They have also avoided a half-time deficit in 26 of their last 29 matches. Those figures point to a side that has generally started matches securely, even if it has not always prevented opponents from scoring over the full 90 minutes.

Kazakhstan vs Slovakia Match Analysis

Recent results make Slovakia the stronger of the two sides on current form. They are unbeaten in their last eight outings and have won three of their last five, while Kazakhstan have not won any of their last five. The visitors' average of 2.2 goals scored per Nations League match also contrasts with Kazakhstan's average of 1.8 conceded. Kazakhstan's run of three consecutive half-time deficits adds another challenge if Slovakia reproduce their recent scoring form.

There is, however, a clear reason not to overlook the hosts' attacking prospects. Kazakhstan have scored in every one of their three meetings with Slovakia and in nine of their last 10 games overall. Slovakia's three clean sheets in eight matches suggest that their unbeaten record has not depended on shutting opponents out every time. Kazakhstan's two wins in the last three head-to-head fixtures further underline why this matchup cannot be judged on group form alone.

The balance of the evidence therefore points to a competitive game with opportunities for both teams to get on the scoresheet. Slovakia's longer unbeaten run and higher scoring average give the visitors the stronger recent record, but Kazakhstan's goals against them have been a recurring feature of the fixture. Whether the hosts can turn that scoring record into a better result is the main question at Astana Arena.

Kazakhstan vs Slovakia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.