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Korea Republic
11:00 AM
October 2, 2026
Venezuela
Prediction published on Sep 30, 2026 9:32 PM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Sep 30, 2026 9:32 PM
Korea Republic host Venezuela in a Friendly International on October 2, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:00 local time at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Both teams arrive after defeats on September 28: Korea Republic lost 4-1 to Uruguay, while Venezuela were beaten 2-1 by Japan. The fixture also brings a rematch of their September 2014 friendly, which Korea Republic won 3-1. That result and the hosts’ recent scoring record give this Korea Republic vs Venezuela match preview an attacking dimension, although the teams’ last-five-match figures make the contest less straightforward than the previous meeting might suggest.
Korea Republic have had sharply contrasting results in their recent home matches. A 3-0 win over Ecuador ended a two-match losing run, but they followed it with a 4-1 defeat against Uruguay. Their next opportunity is to respond in front of a home crowd once more, this time against an opponent they beat in the sides’ only meeting recorded in the supplied head-to-head data.
Across their last five matches, Korea Republic have registered two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their Friendly International record is evenly split at three wins and three losses, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Those numbers show that they have produced goals in these fixtures, but have also had difficulty keeping them out.
A broader run cited ahead of this match offers the hosts some encouragement: Korea Republic have won four of their last seven games and scored ten goals during that stretch. The contrast with their two wins in the most recent five suggests that the timing of the sample matters. What is clear from the latest results is that the Ecuador victory and Uruguay defeat presented very different outcomes. Korea Republic will be looking to recover from the latter rather than allow a second consecutive loss to define this international window.
Venezuela also come into the match seeking a response. They lost 2-1 to Japan on September 28, following a 6-3 defeat against Colombia in their final World Cup qualifying match. Venezuela finished eighth in those qualifiers and did not qualify for the tournament. Their trip to face Korea Republic gives them another chance to move on from those setbacks, as well as an opportunity to reverse the result of the teams’ 2014 friendly.
The visitors’ last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats. Over that period, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Those figures compare favorably with Korea Republic’s last-five averages, even though both sides lost their most recent outings. In Friendly International matches, Venezuela have a record of two wins, one draw and two losses, again averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
There is also a less convincing longer-term sequence for Venezuela to address: they have won three of their last eight games, drawing one and losing four. Their recent five-match record shows they can be competitive, but the defeats to Colombia and Japan leave them needing a better result here. Against Korea Republic in September 2014, Venezuela scored once but conceded three; this meeting is their first chance in the supplied record to improve on that head-to-head result.
The previous meeting offers a clear starting point for this preview: Korea Republic won 3-1 on September 5, 2014. It is only one match, however, and the teams’ more recent figures provide a useful counterweight. Venezuela have scored more and conceded less per game than Korea Republic across their respective last five matches. At the same time, the hosts’ four wins in seven games and their recent 3-0 result against Ecuador give them reasons to approach this fixture with confidence despite the Uruguay defeat.
Goals have featured prominently in several of the results provided. Korea Republic’s last two reported matches ended 3-0 and 1-4, while Venezuela’s defeats to Colombia and Japan ended 3-6 and 1-2. The 2014 head-to-head also produced four goals. Those scorelines make attacking output an important part of the discussion, but they do not erase the uncertainty created by both teams’ mixed results. Korea Republic have lost three of their last five; Venezuela have lost two of theirs, alongside two wins and a draw.
The supplied win probabilities favor Korea Republic at 66%, compared with 21% for a draw and 13% for Venezuela. That assessment aligns with the hosts’ 2014 victory and their four wins across the last seven matches, while Venezuela’s stronger last-five averages offer a reason not to overlook the visitors. For Korea Republic, the immediate question is whether they can repeat the effectiveness shown against Ecuador after conceding four to Uruguay. For Venezuela, it is whether their recent scoring average can translate into a better outcome than they managed against Japan. The balance of the available evidence points toward the hosts, with both teams having something to prove after their latest defeats.
Korea Republic vs Venezuela prediction from BetMines: Korea Republic win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Korea Republic
Venezuela
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2