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Kosovo
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Austria
Prediction published on Oct 2, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Europe - UEFA Nations League | Modified on Oct 2, 2026 4:02 PM
Kosovo host Austria at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Pristina on Sunday, October 4, with kick-off at 16:00 local time. The UEFA Nations League meeting brings together the top two teams in their group: Austria are first and Kosovo second. Both arrive after draws on October 1, though their results looked very different. Kosovo finished 0-0 against Israel, while Austria shared four goals with the Republic of Ireland. Austria won the teams’ previous meeting 3-1 on September 27, but Kosovo scored in that match and will have home advantage for the return fixture.
Kosovo will be looking to restore their scoring touch after the goalless draw with Israel. That was their first failure to score in five matches, and they had found the net in five of the six games before it, scoring 10 goals across that stretch. The recent blank therefore stands out against a wider run in which Kosovo have regularly posed an attacking threat.
Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In this UEFA Nations League campaign, Kosovo have one win, one draw and one loss, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those competition figures are more restrained than their broader recent scoring record, making the response to the Israel draw an important part of this match preview.
Home results also offer a useful note of caution when considering the goal outlook: each of Kosovo’s last 12 home matches has finished with under 3.5 total goals. That does not rule out chances for either side, but it shows that their home fixtures have consistently stayed below four goals. Against Austria, Kosovo will be seeking a better result than the 3-1 defeat in the previous head-to-head, while building on the goal they scored in that encounter.
Austria arrive at the top of the group after taking seven points from their first three UEFA Nations League games. Their campaign record stands at two wins and one draw, with averages of 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. They had recorded back-to-back 3-1 wins before the 2-2 draw with the Republic of Ireland, giving them eight goals across those three competition appearances.
The visitors have scored in four of their last five matches, finding the net 11 times over that period. Across the same five games, Austria have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their attacking figures are strong, although the goals-against average suggests their recent fixtures have offered opportunities at the other end too.
A run of 19 consecutive Austria UEFA Nations League matches with over 1.5 total goals adds further context to their scoring form. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in each of Austria’s last 14 matches. They have led at half-time in six of their last 10 Nations League games, but their latest outing shows that even a match featuring two Austria goals can remain open until the finish.
The contrast between the teams’ October 1 draws makes this an intriguing UEFA Nations League fixture. Kosovo’s 0-0 against Israel interrupted a productive scoring spell; Austria’s 2-2 with the Republic of Ireland continued a sequence of matches in which goals have featured prominently. Austria have the stronger competition record and won the September 27 head-to-head, yet Kosovo’s goal in that 3-1 game is a reminder that the hosts have already found a way onto the scoresheet against them.
There are reasons to expect a competitive contest rather than judge it solely by the previous result. Kosovo’s season average of 0.7 goals scored in the Nations League is modest, but their broader run before the Israel match was more productive. Austria, meanwhile, have averaged 2.7 goals scored in this competition while conceding 1.3. Their recent five-match figures also show goals at both ends: 2.2 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
For the Kosovo vs Austria preview, the central question is whether Kosovo can resume scoring after Thursday’s blank. Austria’s attacking record and group lead make them a demanding opponent, while Kosovo’s long run of home games under 3.5 total goals argues against assuming another four-goal meeting. Still, the recent scoring records of both sides, together with the goal each contributed to their last head-to-head, give this match a clear case for both teams to threaten.
Kosovo vs Austria prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Kosovo
Austria
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9
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10
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6
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8
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