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Prediction published on Jan 28, 2026 8:10 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Jan 28, 2026 8:10 PM
The upcoming Pro League clash between RAAL La Louvière and Gent promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides with very different ambitions. Scheduled for Friday evening, this fixture pits a team fighting near the bottom of the table against one pushing for European qualification. The visitors arrive in excellent form, while the hosts are still searching for consistency after a difficult run of results. With both teams having contrasting momentum, this match could play a key role in shaping their respective seasons.
La Louvière currently sit 13th in the Pro League standings, struggling to find the rhythm needed to climb away from the relegation zone. Their recent 1-2 home defeat to Sint-Truiden on January 24 highlighted ongoing defensive issues, as they have now conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over their last five matches. During that period, they have managed just one win, alongside two draws and two losses, scoring 1.2 goals per match on average.
Across the season, the team’s record stands at 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. These numbers underline a side that often struggles to convert chances while remaining vulnerable at the back. However, their home performances tend to be tight affairs: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 home matches, and in 11 consecutive home league games. In fact, Under 0.5 goals have been scored in four of their last ten home fixtures, showing that matches at their ground are rarely high-scoring.
Despite these limitations, La Louvière have shown flashes of resilience, particularly when facing teams of similar stature. Yet, when up against stronger opponents, their defensive frailties often resurface. To stand a chance against Gent, they will need to tighten their back line and make the most of any opportunities that come their way.
Gent enter this match in fifth place, buoyed by a strong run of results that has seen them win four of their last five games in all competitions. Their most recent outing was a commanding 4-0 victory away to Standard Liège on January 23, a result that showcased their attacking prowess and growing confidence. Over their last five matches, Gent have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game.
In the league, their season record stands at 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These figures reflect a team that thrives on offensive momentum but occasionally leaves space at the back. A particularly striking trend is their consistency in producing goals after the break: Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 27 of their last 29 league matches, and in 29 of their last 32 across all competitions. They also tend to start games strongly, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 18 of their last 20 fixtures.
Gent’s recent performances suggest a side full of confidence and attacking intent. Their ability to score multiple goals in quick succession makes them a dangerous opponent for any team, especially one struggling defensively like La Louvière. If they maintain their current rhythm, another high-scoring display could be on the cards.
The recent history between these two sides clearly favors Gent. In their last three meetings, Gent have won twice and drawn once, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game while conceding just 0.3. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in Gent’s favor on August 2, 2025. This dominance suggests that the visitors have found a reliable formula for overcoming La Louvière’s defensive setup.
From a tactical standpoint, the contrast between the two teams is evident. La Louvière tend to rely on compact defending and quick transitions, but their lack of efficiency in front of goal has often cost them points. Gent, on the other hand, prefer a more expansive approach, pressing high and creating numerous chances through fluid attacking movements. Given the current form of both sides, it would not be surprising to see Gent control possession and dictate the tempo from the outset.
However, La Louvière’s home record of low-scoring games could influence the rhythm of this match. If they manage to frustrate Gent early on, the game might remain balanced for longer than expected. Still, the visitors’ attacking depth and recent scoring form make them clear favorites heading into this fixture.
Considering the data and recent performances, Gent appear to have a slight edge in this matchup. Their superior attacking record, combined with La Louvière’s defensive inconsistencies, points toward another positive result for the visitors. The head-to-head history also supports this view, as Gent have consistently outperformed their opponents in recent meetings.
BetMines prediction: Gent win (2) with a probability of 37%. The draw is estimated at 27%, while a home win for La Louvière stands at 36%. Given the trends, a low-scoring match remains possible, with Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
La Louvière
Gent
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1