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Lanús
12:15 AM
August 25, 2026
Argentinos Juniors
Prediction published on Aug 23, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 23, 2026 1:03 AM
Lanús host Argentinos Juniors on August 25, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 00:15 in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The fixture brings together teams experiencing contrasting runs: the hosts have suffered four defeats in their last five matches, while the visitors have collected four victories during the same period. Argentinos Juniors also hold the stronger league ranking, sitting first compared with Lanús in 11th. However, the available win probabilities remain competitive, assigning Lanús a 42% chance, the draw 28%, and Argentinos Juniors 30%. Those figures set up an intriguing contest between the hosts’ statistical chance of victory and the visitors’ superior recent results.
Lanús enter this home match searching for a response after losing 3-1 against Independiente on August 17. That result extended a difficult sequence in which they have registered only one victory and four defeats across their last five appearances. During that run, Lanús have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per match, highlighting the problems they have experienced at both ends of the pitch.
Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol record is more balanced than the recent sequence suggests. Lanús have accumulated eight wins, six draws and eight defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Mauricio Pellegrino’s side will therefore look to recover the steadiness shown across the season rather than repeat the defensive difficulties evident in the latest five matches.
One of the clearest trends surrounding Lanús concerns the opening 45 minutes. Their games have regularly produced restrained first halves, with under 1.5 first-half goals in their last 13 league matches and in each of their last 11 home fixtures. The same outcome has occurred in 20 of their previous 22 matches across all competitions. In addition, at least one team has failed to score before half-time in the last 25 Lanús games.
The hosts have also struggled to establish an advantage before the interval. They have not been ahead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 league matches, although they have avoided going into the break behind in 19 of their previous 21 home games. Together, those sequences point towards tight and cautious first halves rather than early control from either side. Three of Lanús’ last 11 league matches have finished without a goal, while the same is true of three of their last 11 home fixtures.
Argentinos Juniors arrive after a 2-0 defeat against River Plate on August 16. It was their first loss of the second half of the campaign after beginning that period with four consecutive victories. Their immediate record consequently stands at four wins and one defeat from five matches, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
The visitors’ season figures reinforce the consistency behind their first-place ranking. Argentinos Juniors have recorded 13 victories, seven draws and four defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. They average 1.2 goals per match while conceding only 0.8, giving them a stronger overall defensive average than Lanús. Nicolás Diez’s team will now attempt to ensure that the setback against River Plate remains an isolated result.
Argentinos Juniors can also draw confidence from their recent record in this fixture. The head-to-head summary from the perspective of Lanús reads no wins, one draw and four defeats, with the hosts averaging only 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The supplied match context further states that Argentinos Juniors have won the last four meetings, including two elimination matches. The latest recorded encounter ended 2-0 on May 10, 2026.
That head-to-head advantage is particularly relevant after Lanús conceded three times in their most recent home appearance. Nevertheless, Argentinos Juniors must improve on their last performance, when they failed to score against River Plate. Their four wins in five matches provide a positive overall picture, but the latest result shows that their attack is not guaranteed to convert its opportunities in every fixture.
The central question is whether Lanús can use home advantage to interrupt their poor run or whether Argentinos Juniors will extend their recent dominance of this matchup. The hosts have the higher win probability at 42%, but current form points in the opposite direction: Lanús have lost four of five, whereas Argentinos Juniors have won four of five. The visitors also possess the better league ranking and stronger season record.
Despite those contrasting results, the statistical profile does not necessarily suggest an open contest. Lanús’ repeated under 1.5 first-half goal outcomes indicate that the early stages are often controlled and low scoring. Their inability to lead at the interval in 19 of 20 league games is balanced by a strong record of avoiding a half-time deficit at home. A slow opening in which neither team gains immediate command would therefore fit the established numbers.
The full-match goal markets are closely divided. Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score No are each assigned a 52% probability, while Over 2.5 and Both Teams To Score Yes both stand at 48%. The season averages also support a relatively measured outlook: Lanús both score and concede 1.1 goals per league match, while Argentinos Juniors average 1.2 scored and 0.8 allowed.
The head-to-head data provides an additional reason to question whether both attacks will make an impact. Lanús have averaged only 0.2 goals across the summarized meetings and have failed to win any of those five games. Argentinos Juniors, meanwhile, come into the match after being held scoreless by River Plate. With the hosts’ limited production in this matchup and the visitors attempting to rebound from a 2-0 loss, a contest featuring at least one clean sheet is consistent with the available evidence.
Lanús vs Argentinos Juniors prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lanús
Argentinos Juniors
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1