Tools
Lanús
1 - 0
FT
Banfield
Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 10:02 PM
The “Clásico del Sur” between Lanús and Banfield is one of the most passionate rivalries in Argentine football, and it rarely disappoints in terms of intensity and goals. This new edition of the derby arrives with both teams in need of points, though for different reasons. Lanús are looking to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table, while Banfield aim to recover from recent defensive struggles and climb away from mid-table. The match promises a lively atmosphere and a contest full of emotion, where every duel and every goal opportunity could be decisive.
Lanús approach this clash after a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Despite losing 1-0 to Mirassol in the Copa Libertadores on April 8, the team remain competitive in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, where they currently sit in 6th place with a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. Their average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match reflects a balanced side that can both attack and defend effectively.
At home, Lanús have shown remarkable consistency, avoiding defeat at half time in 19 of their last 20 home matches. This resilience often allows them to control the rhythm of the game early on. However, goal production has been somewhat limited in the opening stages, as at least one team failed to score before half time in 38 of their last 40 matches. In their last three home fixtures, Lanús scored five goals and conceded three, averaging 2.66 total goals per game — a figure that suggests potential for another high-scoring encounter.
For Lanús, the key will be to rediscover their attacking sharpness while maintaining the defensive discipline that has characterized their recent performances. A strong start could be crucial to impose their rhythm and take advantage of Banfield’s defensive weaknesses.
Banfield come into this derby after a 3-2 defeat against Argentinos Juniors on April 6, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and their defensive fragility. Over their last five matches, Banfield have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.4 per game. Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers underline a team capable of finding the net but struggling to maintain defensive solidity.
Banfield’s away form has been particularly concerning in 2026, as they have lost every match played away from home. Moreover, at least one team failed to score at half time in 37 of their last 40 matches, suggesting a tendency for slow starts. Despite these issues, their attack remains a threat, having produced 12 goals in 12 league games. The team’s ability to convert chances will be vital if they are to challenge Lanús on their own ground.
Banfield’s main challenge lies in tightening their defense without losing their attacking edge. If they can find a balance between these two aspects, they could make life difficult for Lanús and possibly surprise in this derby.
The last head-to-head between these two sides ended 2-1 on November 4, 2025, a result that fits the general trend of this rivalry — matches that are intense and often produce goals. Historically, Lanús have won once, drawn twice and lost twice in their last five meetings with Banfield, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. These figures suggest a fairly balanced rivalry, though Lanús’ current home form could give them a slight edge.
Given both teams’ recent performances, the match could feature several scoring opportunities. Lanús’ solid home record and Banfield’s defensive vulnerabilities point toward a game where goals are likely. However, both sides have shown a tendency for low-scoring first halves, which could delay the action until after the break. The emotional weight of the derby and the need for points on both sides should ensure a competitive and entertaining encounter.
According to the latest probabilities, Lanús have a 59% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Banfield’s chances are 16%. For total goals, the Under 2.5 option leads with 59% probability, while Over 2.5 follows at 41%. The Both Teams To Score – No outcome also holds a 59% likelihood, reflecting the possibility of one side failing to find the net.
Lanús vs Banfield prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lanús
Banfield
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
7
3
3
7
2.5
9
1
5
5
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1