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Lanús
0 - 3
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Boca Juniors
Prediction published on Mar 3, 2026 12:01 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Mar 3, 2026 12:01 PM
The seventh round of the Argentine Apertura brings an intriguing clash between CA Lanús and Boca Juniors, two sides looking to regain momentum after a series of draws and narrow results. The match will be played at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, where the home team hopes to capitalize on their strong record in front of their fans. Both clubs have shown defensive discipline but have struggled to convert chances into victories, setting the stage for a tight and tactical encounter.
Lanús approach this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Defensa y Justicia on March 2, extending their run to four league matches without a win. Despite this, the team remains competitive, having recently lifted the Recopa Sudamericana after a dramatic extra-time victory over Flamengo. That triumph has boosted morale, and returning home could be the perfect opportunity to rediscover their winning touch.
In the current Liga Profesional de Fútbol campaign, Lanús have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their recent five-game form shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. One of their most impressive streaks is their consistency at home — they have not lost at half time in their last 21 home matches. Moreover, at least one team failed to score before the break in 31 of their last 33 games, highlighting their cautious first-half approach.
Historically, Lanús have performed well against Boca Juniors, remaining unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings (2 wins, 3 draws). The last encounter ended 0-0 in May 2025, reinforcing the expectation of another low-scoring contest.
Boca Juniors also arrive in need of a spark after a 1-1 home draw with Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza on February 28. That result extended their winless streak to four matches in all competitions. Injuries have played a major role in their recent struggles, with up to seven players sidelined, including key winger Ezequiel Zeballos. Nevertheless, Boca’s defensive organization remains a strong point, having conceded only 5 goals in their last 7 league games.
In the current season, Boca’s record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Their last five outings show a balanced pattern: 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. The team’s matches have consistently been tight affairs — Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 14 games, and the same trend continues across their last 13 league fixtures. Additionally, Boca have avoided defeat at half time in 27 of their last 29 matches, underlining their ability to stay compact and disciplined early in games.
While their attack has lacked sharpness, Boca’s defensive resilience and experience make them a difficult opponent to break down. Their cautious style often leads to low-scoring matches, and this trip to Lanús is unlikely to be an exception.
This fixture brings together two sides that have built their recent identity around defensive solidity rather than attacking flair. Both teams have drawn several of their recent matches, and their head-to-head history suggests another close contest. Lanús will rely on their home advantage and the confidence gained from their continental success, while Boca Juniors will aim to frustrate their hosts with a compact defensive setup.
Given the statistical trends — including the prevalence of low-scoring games for both teams and their strong first-half records — the match is expected to be tight, with few clear chances. The likelihood of a goalless or narrow outcome is high, especially considering that both sides have averaged fewer than two goals per game this season.
BetMines Prediction: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lanús
Boca Juniors
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
7
3
4
6
2.5
9
1
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0