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Lanús
12:15 AM
September 22, 2026
Estudiantes
Prediction published on Sep 20, 2026 12:33 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 20, 2026 12:33 AM
Lanús welcome Estudiantes in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 22, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 00:15 local time. The hosts enter the fixture after consecutive victories without conceding against Deportivo Riestra and Defensa y Justicia, while the visitors recently recorded their own clean-sheet success against Corinthians. Lanús are seventh in the league ranking and Estudiantes are 11th, but the available statistics suggest that the main theme at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez could be a tight contest rather than an open exchange. Both teams average 1.1 goals scored per game across the league season, and several longer trends point towards limited first-half scoring and a relatively low overall total.
Lanús have shown signs of recovery by winning their last two matches while keeping a clean sheet in both. Their latest result was a convincing 3-0 victory over Deportivo Riestra on September 14. That result followed another win without conceding against Defensa y Justicia, giving the home side a stronger defensive platform ahead of this match.
Across their last five fixtures, Lanús have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that sequence. Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol record stands at 10 wins, seven draws and nine losses, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Those numbers underline how closely balanced their league games have generally been.
The first-half data are particularly notable. At least one team has failed to score before the interval in each of the last 29 Lanús matches, including their previous 20 home fixtures. In league competition, the same pattern has appeared in their last 20 games. There have also been under 1.5 first-half goals in 24 of their last 26 matches, as well as in their previous 13 home games.
The combination of cautious opening periods and more regular second-half scoring suggests that patience may be important for Lanús. Their recent clean sheets provide encouragement, but five-match form of two wins, one draw and two defeats also shows why another controlled performance may be required.
Estudiantes arrive after defeating Corinthians 1-0 on September 17. Castro scored the only goal as Estudiantes advanced to the Copa Libertadores semi-final. That was another away match in which both sides did not score, extending that particular sequence to seven consecutive fixtures on the road.
The visitors have lost only once in their last five matches, recording two victories and two draws alongside that defeat. Their averages across those games are modest but solid: 0.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. Their league-season figures show 12 wins, five draws and nine defeats, while they have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
Estudiantes have repeatedly been involved in matches with controlled scorelines. Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 18 away games and in 25 of their previous 27 matches overall. The same 25-from-27 sequence also applies specifically to their Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures. In addition, under 1.5 first-half goals have been recorded in 22 of their last 24 league matches and in each of their previous 18 away fixtures.
Although Estudiantes have recently struggled at half-time in away league games, their defensive numbers remain strong. Conceding an average of 0.6 goals over the last five matches and 0.7 across the league season gives them a reliable base, while the 1-0 win over Corinthians offers another recent example of their ability to succeed in a narrow contest.
The statistical profile of this fixture points towards a measured opening. Lanús have repeatedly reached half-time without trailing at home, while eight of their last nine home league matches were level at the break. Estudiantes, meanwhile, have recorded under 1.5 first-half goals in 18 consecutive away games. With at least one team also failing to score before the interval in almost all of the relevant recent sequences, early chances may carry particular importance.
The latest head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Lanús on March 13, 2026. Across the supplied five-match head-to-head summary, Lanús have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The longer home history provided for this matchup also supports the possibility of one side being kept off the scoresheet: in 15 of 25 Lanús home meetings with Estudiantes this century, both teams did not score.
Lanús hold the stronger match-result probability, with a 44% chance of winning compared with 31% for a draw and 25% for an Estudiantes victory. However, the clearest shared pattern concerns the expected number and distribution of goals. The probability data give under 2.5 goals a 68% chance, while both teams scoring is rated at 41% and the opposite outcome at 59%.
Recent performances reinforce that reading. Lanús have kept two consecutive clean sheets, and Estudiantes have just won 1-0 away from home. The hosts tend to begin cautiously before seeing more second-half activity, whereas the visitors have produced a long run of low-scoring away matches. With both teams carrying respectable defensive averages and the previous meeting also decided by a single unanswered goal, another match in which one goalkeeper remains unbeaten is a coherent possibility.
Lanús vs Estudiantes prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lanús
Estudiantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0