Tools
Lanús
5 - 0
FT
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Mar 15, 2026 11:02 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Mar 15, 2026 11:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Lanús and Newell’s Old Boys promises to be a crucial fixture in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Scheduled for Tuesday, March 17, 2026, this encounter will take place at the Estadio Néstor Díaz Pérez, where the home side will look to build on their recent improvement. After a much-needed victory against Estudiantes, Lanús aim to continue their recovery and move closer to the playoff positions. Meanwhile, Newell’s Old Boys arrive in a difficult situation, still searching for their first win of the season and struggling to escape the bottom of the table.
Lanús finally ended a five-match winless streak with a 1-0 away victory over Estudiantes on March 13, a result that lifted morale and restored some confidence. Despite that success, the Granate still need to find greater consistency, as their defensive record remains fragile with 12 goals conceded in 8 matches. Offensively, they have scored 10 times, averaging 1.3 goals per game this season, while conceding an average of 1.5 goals.
At home, Lanús have shown resilience, rarely trailing at half time — in fact, they have avoided defeat at the break in 20 of their last 21 home matches. Their second halves tend to be more open, with over 0.5 goals scored after the interval in 19 of their last 21 league games. This pattern suggests that the team often grows stronger as the match progresses, a factor that could be decisive against a struggling opponent.
In their last five outings, Lanús have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4. While these numbers highlight some attacking inefficiency, the recent win may mark a turning point. Ranked 10th in the league, they remain within reach of the playoff zone, especially considering they have played fewer matches than some of their rivals.
The situation is far more concerning for Newell’s Old Boys. The Rosario-based side have yet to secure a victory in this campaign, with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Platense on March 11, which at least ended a run of consecutive losses but did little to improve their position. Currently sitting 15th in the standings, Newell’s are also in serious trouble in the relegation averages, making every point vital.
Offensively, the team has struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.7 goals per game, while conceding 1.9 goals on average. Their lack of attacking efficiency has been a major issue, and they have failed to lead at half time in 25 of their last 27 matches. Like Lanús, their matches often open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in each of their last 10 league games.
In their last five fixtures, Newell’s have managed 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring just 0.4 goals per match while conceding 1.8. These numbers underline the team’s difficulties at both ends of the pitch. The lack of victories has placed them under immense pressure, and a trip to Lanús — where the hosts are traditionally strong — will be a stern test of their resilience.
Historically, Newell’s Old Boys have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings. However, the most recent encounter, played on October 5, 2024, ended in a 2-1 victory for Lanús, suggesting that the balance may be shifting. Across those five matches, Lanús have averaged only 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, indicating that they often struggle to impose themselves against this opponent.
From a tactical perspective, Lanús are expected to rely on their solid home performances and disciplined first halves, while Newell’s will likely focus on staying compact and trying to exploit counterattacks. Given both teams’ recent trends, the match could start cautiously before opening up in the second half, where most of the goals tend to occur.
Considering the current form and statistical trends, Lanús appear to have the upper hand. Their recent win has boosted confidence, and their home record remains a key advantage. In contrast, Newell’s Old Boys continue to struggle both defensively and offensively, with no victories so far this season. The probability data supports this view, with win chances estimated at Lanús 55%, Draw 27%, and Newell’s Old Boys 19%.
Given the low scoring averages of both sides and the tendency for tight matches, the game could feature limited goals. The Under 2.5 goals market shows a 60% likelihood, while Both Teams To Score – No stands at 58%. However, the most probable outcome remains a home win (1), aligning with the overall momentum and statistical edge of Lanús.
Lanús vs Newell’s Old Boys prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lanús
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
7
3
2
8
2.5
9
1
7
3
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2