The upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Burgos CF promises to be a tightly contested encounter in the 25th round of LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides are fighting for promotion playoff positions, separated by just one point in the standings. The home team will look to end a worrying run of results, while the visitors arrive in good form after a key victory in their last outing. With both teams showing contrasting momentum, this fixture could have significant implications for the race to reach the top flight.

Las Palmas’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Las Palmas come into this match after a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad II on January 30, a result that extended their winless streak in the league to four games. During this period, they have recorded two draws and two defeats, a run that has seen them slip from the automatic promotion spots down to fifth place with 39 points. Despite this decline, the Canarian side remains firmly in the playoff zone and continues to be one of the most competitive teams in LaLiga 2.

Across the season, Las Palmas have registered 10 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their defensive record remains among the best in the division, but recent performances suggest a dip in consistency. In their last five games, they have managed just one victory, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 1.8. The team will need to rediscover their early-season form to stay in contention for automatic promotion.

• Ranking: 5th in La Liga 2


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 | Conceded: 1.8


• Last head-to-head vs Burgos: 0-0 (September 7, 2025)

Historically, Las Palmas have struggled against Burgos, failing to win any of their last five meetings (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats). They have also failed to score in those encounters, averaging 0.0 goals for and 0.8 against. Breaking that trend will be crucial if they want to return to winning ways and maintain their playoff ambitions.

Burgos CF’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Burgos CF travel to Gran Canaria full of confidence after a 2-1 home victory over Leganés on January 31. That result marked their third win in the last five league matches, all achieved by a narrow one-goal margin. The team’s ability to grind out results has been key to their rise up the table, and they now sit eighth with 38 points—just one behind Las Palmas and level with the sixth-placed side, though with a slightly inferior goal difference.

Over the course of the season, Burgos have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their recent performances show a solid balance between attack and defense, although they tend to keep matches tight. In their last five fixtures, they have scored 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2. This cautious but effective approach has allowed them to stay competitive even away from home.

• Ranking: 8th in La Liga 2


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Conceded: 1.2


• Under 3.5 goals in last 14 league matches


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 10 matches


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of their last 17 away games

Burgos’ matches rarely produce high scorelines, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 14 league outings. However, they often find a way to score after the break, as at least one goal has been netted in the second half of their last ten matches. Their away form remains mixed, but their recent momentum could make them a tricky opponent for Las Palmas.

Las Palmas vs Burgos CF Analysis and Prediction

Both teams enter this fixture with promotion ambitions and similar overall statistics, suggesting a balanced contest. Las Palmas will rely on their home advantage and defensive strength to regain confidence, while Burgos will aim to continue their upward trajectory with another disciplined performance. Given the historical record between the two sides—five meetings without a Las Palmas victory and generally low-scoring outcomes—this match could once again be decided by fine margins.

Statistically, the game leans towards a cautious affair. The probability data indicates 47% chance of a Las Palmas win, 26% for a draw, and 27% for a Burgos win. The Both Teams To Score market is evenly balanced at 50%, while the Under 2.5 goals outcome holds a slight edge at 54% probability. Considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive tendencies, a low-scoring draw appears to be a plausible scenario.

Las Palmas vs Burgos CF prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.