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Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 7:18 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 7:18 PM
Las Palmas host Castellón in La Liga 2 on October 17, 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 local time at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. The sides arrive in contrasting positions: Las Palmas are 15th after a difficult run that has led to the departure of Rubén de la Barrera, while third-placed Castellón have won six of their nine league matches. The visitors have gone two games without a victory, but Las Palmas face a more pressing challenge after conceding 10 goals across their last four league fixtures. It is an intriguing meeting between a home side seeking a change in results and an away team with one of the division’s strongest records on the road.
Las Palmas began their campaign with victories over Albacete and Ceuta, but those early results have given way to an inconsistent spell. They have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 2.0 per game in that period. Their overall La Liga 2 record stands at three wins, two draws and four defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
The defensive figures are particularly concerning ahead of Castellón’s visit. Las Palmas conceded twice against Burgos, three times against Eibar, twice against Valladolid and three times in their latest match, a 3-1 defeat to Mallorca on October 11. They scored six goals across those four fixtures but could not turn any of them into a win. Rubén de la Barrera has since left his post, with reserve-team coach Juan Manuel Rodríguez taking temporary charge. Las Palmas have also been behind at half-time in each of their last three La Liga 2 matches, although they have led at the interval in eight of their last 13 home league games.
There have been individual contributions despite the results. Iván Jaime has two goals and two assists in seven appearances and scored against Mallorca. Taisei Miyashiro also has two goals and two assists, while Pezzolesi has scored twice. Those attacking returns give Las Palmas a route into the contest, but they will need to pair them with a stronger defensive display than they have managed in recent weeks.
Castellón travel with a league record of six wins, two draws and one defeat. Across their last five matches, they have won three, drawn one and lost one, averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded. Their season averages of 1.7 goals for and 0.4 against per game underline the balance behind their third-place position. Pablo Hernández’s side have, however, taken only one point from their last two outings: a 1-1 draw with Ceuta was followed by a 1-0 loss to FC Andorra on October 11.
The away record remains a substantial source of confidence for Castellón. They have won four of their five league fixtures away from home, scoring seven goals and conceding three across those matches. Victories at Real Sociedad B, Celta de Vigo B, Girona and Leganés preceded the setback against Andorra. Their broader scoring record is also notable: Castellón have found the net in 28 of their last 30 La Liga 2 matches.
One important absence is Ousmane Camara, who will miss the Las Palmas match because of a muscular injury. The forward has four goals and one assist in seven appearances. Israel Suero has supplied three goals and two assists, while Pablo Santiago has contributed two goals and one assist. Those figures show that Castellón have other players who can contribute in attack, even without Camara available.
The contrast between Las Palmas’ recent defending and Castellón’s away results shapes this match preview. The hosts have conceded 10 times in four games, yet their six goals over the same stretch suggest they can still create problems for visitors. Castellón have been more consistent at both ends of the pitch and have already won four times on the road, though their failure to beat Ceuta or Andorra offers Las Palmas some encouragement.
A quick start could matter. Las Palmas have trailed at half-time in three consecutive league games, but their longer home record includes eight half-time leads in 13 matches. Goals have also arrived after the break in their fixtures: 19 of their last 21 La Liga 2 games have featured at least one second-half goal. The most recent head-to-head meeting ended 1-1 on February 21, 2026, and the last five meetings are evenly split, with two wins for each side and one draw. Current form nevertheless gives Castellón the stronger case, provided they can respond to their defeat against Andorra.
Las Palmas vs Castellón prediction from BetMines: Castellón win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Las Palmas
Castellón
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1