In the opening match of La Liga Matchday 28, Las Palmas and Deportivo Alaves face off in a crucial relegation battle. At the Estadio de Gran Canaria, Diego Martinez’s side is still chasing its first victory of 2025, having collected eight defeats and two draws in the first 10 matches of the new year. This poor run of form has dragged Las Palmas down to 19th place, three points behind the 17th-placed team, and they were recently overtaken by their upcoming opponent, Alaves. The Basque side comes into this fixture with renewed confidence after a surprising 1-0 victory over Villarreal, secured by defender Manuel Sanchez’s first goal of the season. This win has reignited their survival hopes, lifting them to 18th place, just one point behind Leganes and Valencia, who currently occupy the 17th and 16th spots in the table. Given the tight standings and the minimal point gap separating these teams from safety, this match could be decisive in the race to stay in La Liga next season. It’s one of those games where a single moment of brilliance or a mistake could make the difference.

Las Palmas' Shape & Key Statistics

Las Palmas is enduring a dreadful run of form, with four losses and one draw in their last five games. They have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match in this stretch. Their most recent defeat came in a 1-0 loss to Real Betis, marking their 15th league defeat of the season, with eight of those losses occurring since the start of 2025.

At home, Las Palmas has earned 13 of its 24 total points, but playing at the Estadio de Gran Canaria hasn’t been an advantage lately. Their last home victory was back on December 22, and they have lost their last two home matches against Barcelona (2-0) and Villarreal (2-1).

Deportivo Alaves' Shape & Key Statistics

Deportivo Alaves arrives in good spirits after two consecutive positive results, drawing against Mallorca before defeating Villarreal. The win against the Yellow Submarine ended a six-match winless streak (3 draws, 3 losses).

Away from home, Alaves has only secured two league victories, the most recent one coming on January 18 against Real Betis. However, they are unbeaten in their last two away games (2 draws) and have lost just one of their last six road matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss).

Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction & Tactical Overview

This match could be heavily influenced by suspensions. Las Palmas will be without Essugo and Viti, while Alaves will miss Antonio Blanco, Sivera, and Moussa Diarra due to suspensions.

Recent history suggests a balanced contest. The last five head-to-head encounters have produced three draws, one Las Palmas victory, and one Alaves win (a 2-0 victory for Alaves in the reverse fixture). Notably, none of these matches have seen more than two total goals.

Considering this trend and the likely defensive approach from both sides, the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with Under 2.5 goals.

• The BetMines prediction for the Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 55%.
• The BetMines prediction for the Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 45%.

Probable Lineups Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves

LAS PALMAS (4-3-3): Cillessen; Marvin, Álex Suárez, Mckenna, Álex Muñoz; Javi Muñoz, Bajcetic, Campaña; Sandro, Fábio Silva, Moleiro. Coach: Martinez

DEPORTIVO ALAVES (4-4-2): Adrián Rodríguez; Tenaglia, Abqar, Mouriño, Manu Sánchez; Pau Cabanes, Ander Guevara, Joan Jordán, Aleñá; Kike García, Carlos Martín. Coach: Coudet