Latina host Atalanta II on Wednesday, October 14, in a rescheduled Serie C: Girone B fixture at Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni. Kick-off is set for 13:00 local time. Just one place separates the teams in the standings, with Atalanta II 14th and Latina 15th, and neither arrives after a win in its most recent match. Latina drew 1-1 with Sambenedettese on October 11, while Atalanta II lost 2-1 to Sassari Torres on the same day. Their recent results make this a difficult match to call, although both sides have clear statistical patterns worth examining.

Latina's Recent Form and Key Stats

Latina are without a victory in their last five matches, recording three draws and two defeats. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game during that run and conceded 1.4. The 1-1 draw against Sambenedettese continued a spell in which Latina have taken points but struggled to turn close games into wins.

Across the Serie C: Girone B season, Latina have one win, four draws and three losses. Their averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match suggest that scoring has been the greater challenge so far. That record also helps explain why they enter this fixture one position below Atalanta II, despite having lost fewer league matches than their visitors.

At home, Latina's matches have followed a notably restrained scoring pattern: each of their last 19 home games has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals. They have also avoided a half-time deficit in 14 consecutive home matches. Neither sequence guarantees a result on Wednesday, but together they point to a side that has regularly kept home fixtures competitive, particularly before the interval.

Atalanta II's Recent Form and Key Stats

Atalanta II have produced a different set of recent results, winning twice and losing three times in their last five games without a draw. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over that stretch. Their latest outing, a 2-1 defeat to Sassari Torres, reflected that recent tendency for their matches to include goals at both ends, though it is only one game in the sequence.

For the Serie C: Girone B season, Atalanta II have three wins and four defeats, with no draws. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their higher scoring average gives them an attacking edge over Latina in the season figures, but their higher concession rate leaves room for the home side to find a goal.

Two timing trends stand out. Atalanta II have trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 away matches, while at least one second-half goal has been scored in 24 of their last 26 matches. The latter figure refers to total goals by either team, not solely goals scored by Atalanta II. For this fixture, those numbers put particular attention on how the visitors begin the game and whether the score changes after the break.

Latina vs Atalanta II Match Analysis

The standings and recent results offer little basis for treating either side as a clear favourite. The supplied win probabilities are close: 39% for Latina, 29% for a draw and 32% for Atalanta II. Latina's five-match winless run weighs against their home advantage, while Atalanta II's three defeats in five games temper the significance of their higher league position.

The head-to-head summary favours Latina, who have recorded two wins and no draws or defeats against Atalanta II, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded in those meetings. The most recent listed encounter finished 1-2 on January 4, 2026. That record gives the hosts an encouraging reference point, but their current scoring average and Atalanta II's ability to win games this season make a repeat outcome far from certain.

Goals markets present a similarly mixed picture. The article's discussion of defensive difficulties is supported by recent concession averages of 1.4 for Latina and 1.6 for Atalanta II. Even so, the supplied both-teams-to-score assessment is split evenly at 50% for Yes and 50% for No. Latina's long run of home matches below 3.5 total goals, combined with their average of fewer than one goal scored per league game, provides a stronger case for a measured total than for assuming both teams will score.

The key question may be whether Atalanta II can improve on their recent away starts. Latina's 14-match home sequence without trailing at half-time contrasts with the visitors' six half-time deficits in their last 10 away games. Atalanta II's second-half goal trend also means a quiet opening would not necessarily leave the score unchanged. With the teams close in the standings and the supplied Under 2.5 goals probability at 58%, a relatively low-scoring contest is the most coherent reading of the available figures.

Latina vs Atalanta II prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.