Latvia host Armenia on November 15 in the final round of UEFA Nations League group C2. The match at Stadions Skonto in Riga kicks off at 14:00 local time, with both teams’ finishing positions already settled. Latvia are fourth with one point and are still looking for their first win of the campaign. Armenia are third with five points, four ahead of their hosts. With neither side able to reach the promotion places, this meeting offers Latvia a chance to end on a positive note and Armenia an opportunity to complete a second victory over them.

Latvia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Latvia enter the fixture after a 2-1 defeat away to Montenegro on November 12. They have taken one draw and four defeats from their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game and conceding 1.6. Those figures match their record across this Nations League campaign: no wins, one draw and four losses. Their previous meeting with Armenia also ended in defeat, with the visitors winning 2-0 on September 25.

Playing at home has not consistently improved Latvia’s results in this competition. They have lost four of their last six home Nations League matches, although goals have been limited in those fixtures: each of their last 12 home games in the competition has finished with fewer than 3.5 goals. The same total-goals pattern applies to their last 12 Nations League matches overall.

Starts have been another difficulty for Latvia. They have not led at half-time in any of their last 15 Nations League games, while their last 12 matches in the competition have all produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. Those trends make a strong opening particularly important if they are to secure their first win in group C2.

Armenia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Armenia drew 1-1 at home to Cyprus on November 12. They won their opening group match against Latvia but have not won any of the four games since, recording two draws and two defeats. Across their last five matches, they have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game and conceded 1.2. Their Nations League record stands at one win, two draws and two losses.

The visitors have had difficulty finding a result away from home, going eight away matches without a win, with two draws and six defeats in that sequence. They have also conceded at least once in 32 of their last 34 matches. While their 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture gives them a recent success to draw on, those broader results leave room for Latvia to challenge them this time.

Armenia’s third-place finish is already assured. Cyprus are three points ahead, but Armenia cannot overtake them even with a win because of their head-to-head record. Their immediate aim is therefore to break the away winless run and close their group campaign with another victory over Latvia.

Latvia vs Armenia Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head record favours Armenia: from Latvia’s perspective, the summary is one win and four defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The latest encounter, however, is only one part of the picture. Latvia have struggled for results, but Armenia arrive without a win in four matches and have not won in eight away games.

Goals may be limited. Latvia’s scoring average is low, and their extended run of Nations League matches below 3.5 total goals points to another measured contest. At the same time, Armenia’s frequent concessions give the hosts a possible route to a better result than they managed in the reverse fixture. With neither team able to change its group position, Latvia’s search for a first win and Armenia’s attempt to end their away drought provide the main stakes.

Latvia vs Armenia prediction from BetMines: Latvia win (1) with 48% probability.