Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction: Preview and Analysis of the Match | Europa League

On Thursday, April 17th, Lazio, managed by Marco Baroni, host Bodo/Glimt at the Stadio Olimpico for the second leg of the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals. After a 2-0 defeat in the first leg played on the artificial turf of Aspmyra Stadion, the Biancocelesti must win by at least three goals to qualify for the semi-finals, where they would face the winner between Tottenham Hotspur and Eintracht Frankfurt. Despite the deficit, Baroni’s men approach this match with optimism, coming off a strong performance in the Rome Derby that ended 1-1 in the latest Serie A round. Compared to the first leg, the former Lecce and Verona coach can count on the return of key midfielder Nicolò Rovella, who missed the first leg due to suspension, and on an improved form from striker Castellanos. Bodo/Glimt, sitting on maximum points after two matches in their domestic league, arrive in Rome with a two-goal advantage. However, they are well aware that it will be a tough battle, especially considering their poor record in away matches during this Europa League campaign.

Lazio's Recent Form & Key Stats

Lazio are currently experiencing a dip in form, with just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. In their most recent Serie A game, they drew 1-1 against AS Roma, taking the lead with Alessio Romagnoli’s fifth goal of the season. The club currently sits sixth in the table, three points behind fourth place—the final Champions League qualification spot.

At home, however, the Biancocelesti remain unbeaten in this Europa League edition, with 3 wins and 2 draws from five home matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. More broadly, Lazio have not lost any of their last 12 Europa League home matches at the Stadio Olimpico.

Bodo/Glimt's Recent Form & Key Stats

Since their 2-0 win over Lazio in the first leg, Bodo/Glimt haven’t played another domestic match, giving them extra preparation time for the return leg. The Norwegian side are in excellent form, riding a streak of 4 consecutive wins in all competitions, keeping clean sheets in each and scoring an average of 3.5 goals per match.

If there’s a weakness in their European journey, it’s their away performance. Bodo/Glimt have struggled on the road, with 3 losses, 2 draws, and only 1 win (on October 23rd) in away games. They’ve scored only 7 goals and conceded 9 away from home in Europe.

Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction & Tactical Overview

The 2-0 result from the first leg forces Lazio to adopt an aggressive and proactive approach, aiming to score early and build momentum. Coach Marco Baroni is expected to stick with his traditional 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring Zaccagni, Dia, and Isaksen supporting Castellanos up front. The return of Rovella in midfield alongside Guendouzi is a major boost.

The comeback is certainly within reach for the hosts, especially with the backing of their passionate home crowd. Bodo/Glimt’s poor away record in the Europa League adds to the belief that Lazio could claim a home win—potentially forcing extra time or even completing the turnaround within 90 minutes.

However, they must stay alert to the Norwegian side’s dangerous counter-attacks, particularly through Hauge and Saltnes, the latter having scored both goals in the first leg.

Taking all of this into account, the BetMines algorithm’s prediction for Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt slightly favors a home win after 90 minutes. 

• BetMines Algorithm prediction for Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt predicts the sign 1 at 46%.
• BetMines Algorithm prediction for Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt predicts the sign X at 23%.
• BetMines Algorithm prediction for Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt predicts the sign 2 at 31%.

Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt Predicted Lineups

Lazio (4-2-3-1): Mandas; Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, Hysaj; Guendouzi, Rovella; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni; Castellanos. Manager: Marco Baroni

Bodo/Glimt (4-3-3): Haikin; Sjovold, Gundersen, Bjortuft, Bjorkan; Evjen, Berg, Saltnes; Blomberg, Høgh, Hauge. Manager: Kjetil Knutsen