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Prediction published on Nov 1, 2025 12:26 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 2, 2025 6:09 PM
At the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, on Monday, November 3, the Monday Match of Serie A’s 10th round will take place between Lazio and Cagliari — two teams looking for crucial points to improve their position in the standings. The home side needs a win to put behind the disappointing draw from a week ago against Pisa and, most importantly, to re-enter the race for European competitions. Sarri’s team has struggled with consistency since the start of the season — due to transfer restrictions and several injuries — but they are still showing solid defensive organization and clinical finishing when it matters. Beating Cagliari shouldn’t be too big of a problem for the Biancocelesti, provided that Sarri’s men don’t underestimate the visitors’ hunger for redemption. The Sardinian side hasn’t won a league match in five rounds and is eager to bounce back. Pisacane’s men, coming off a tough loss against Sassuolo, still have a small cushion over the relegation zone but can’t afford more slip-ups if they want to preserve their positive start. It’s a match that, while favoring the hosts, promises to be tense and hard-fought — neither team will want to drop points.
In the last midweek fixture, Lazio couldn’t follow up their 1-0 victory over Juventus on October 26, settling for a 0-0 draw away to newly promoted Pisa. Nonetheless, it was the fifth straight positive result in Serie A for the Biancocelesti.
Over their last five matches, Maurizio Sarri’s men have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. The defense remains Lazio’s strongest department, keeping clean sheets in their last three outings against Atalanta, Juventus, and Pisa. Offensively, however, the absence of Castellanos has been felt, with only one goal scored across those same three matches.
Currently, Lazio sit 11th in the Serie A table with 12 points, coming from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home, Zaccagni and his teammates have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Sarri faces a long list of absentees for this match, including Tavares, Cancellieri, Rovella, Castellanos, and Dele-Bashiru. Up front, the likely trio will once again be Zaccagni, Dia, and Isaksen.
Cagliari come into this game eager to redeem themselves after losing 1-2 at home to Sassuolo in midweek. That defeat extended their winless run to five consecutive league matches.
In their last five fixtures, the Rossoblù have collected 2 draws and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The defense remains their weak point, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven matches across all competitions. Despite the absence of Belotti due to injury, the attack is still finding the net with reasonable consistency.
After nine rounds, Cagliari sit just above the relegation zone with 9 points — the result of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring 9 goals and conceding 12. Away from home, they have not lost any of their last three games, securing one win at Lecce (1-2) and two draws against Udinese (1-1) and Verona (2-2).
For the trip to the Olimpico, Fabio Pisacane will be without suspended Obert and injured players Deiola, Belotti, Radunovic, and Rog. Mina returns in defense — a key leader for Cagliari and a set-piece threat. Up front, confidence is once again placed in Sebastiano Esposito, who ended his goal drought by scoring against Sassuolo.
Lazio, riding a positive streak of results, have all the tools to claim a win in this Serie A Matchday 10 fixture. According to the BetMines algorithm, the Biancocelesti have a 55% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 19% chance of losing.
Sarri’s side can rely on their home support at the Olimpico — where they last beat Juventus 1-0 — as well as on their recent head-to-head record. Lazio have won each of their last five meetings with Cagliari, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match and conceding only 0.6.
Given the numerous attacking absences on both sides, BetMines predicts a narrow home win (1-0 or 2-0) in a match likely to feature few chances and little spectacle. Considering Lazio’s current defensive form, it wouldn’t be surprising if the visitors failed to score.
Based on all these factors, the recommended tips are: Lazio to win (1), Under 2.5 goals, and “at least one team not to score.”
LAZIO (4-3-3): Provedel; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni. Coach: Sarri
CAGLIARI (4-3-2-1): Caprile; Palestra, Mina, Ze Pedro, Idrissi; Adopo, Prati, Folorunsho; Esposito Se, Gaetano; Borrelli. Coach: Pisacane
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lazio
Cagliari
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1