The 21st round of Serie A concludes on Monday, January 19, 2026, with an intriguing clash between Lazio and Como at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:45, and the visitors arrive with a six-point advantage over the hosts in the league standings. Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent results, making it a fascinating encounter for fans and bettors alike.

Lazio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

After starting the new year with a draw against Fiorentina, Lazio managed to secure their first win of 2026 by defeating Hellas Verona 1-0 thanks to a deflected cross from Manuel Lazzari. That victory ended a four-match winless streak and lifted the Biancocelesti to ninth place in Serie A. Despite the positive result, their home form remains a concern, as they have failed to win any of their last four home games, recording three draws and one defeat.

In terms of season performance, Lazio’s record stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their recent five-game run shows one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The team’s matches have often been tight affairs, with Under 0.5 goals in three of their last 14 Serie A fixtures. Moreover, at least one team failed to score at half time in 28 of their last 30 league games, highlighting their cautious approach.

On the personnel front, Lazio have been dealing with a turbulent season marked by injuries and suspensions. However, the return of captain Mattia Zaccagni after suspension provides a boost, while new signings Kenneth Taylor and Petar Ratkov made their Serie A debuts last weekend. Nicolò Rovella also returned to action after a long absence, adding depth to the midfield. Despite these positives, the team still lacks consistency, especially at home, where they have often struggled to convert dominance into victories.

Como’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Como travel to Rome after a 3-1 home defeat to AC Milan, a result that ended their four-match unbeaten streak (three wins and one draw). Despite that setback, the Lariani have been one of the most impressive sides in Serie A this season, currently sitting sixth with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. They average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, showing a balanced and efficient style of play.

On the road, Como have been particularly strong, winning their last two away matches by identical 3-0 scorelines. They have not lost at half time in 32 of their last 35 Serie A games, demonstrating remarkable composure and tactical discipline. Interestingly, at least one team failed to score in the second half in 28 of their last 30 league matches, suggesting that their games often tighten up after the break. Four of their last five away fixtures have produced three or more total goals, showing that they can be both solid and dangerous in transition.

Coach Cesc Fabregas may consider some rotation after the defeat to Milan, with Alex Valle, Diego Carlos, and Jesus Rodriguez all pushing for starting roles. However, Como will still be without Edoardo Goldaniga, Assane Diao, Jayden Addai, and Alvaro Morata, all sidelined through injury. Despite these absences, the visitors have shown resilience and tactical maturity, capable of adapting their approach depending on the opponent.

Lazio vs Como Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with very different footballing philosophies. Lazio have adopted a more cautious and pragmatic style, focusing on defensive solidity and narrow wins, while Como have been one of the most proactive and attack-minded sides in the league. However, both teams share a common trait: their matches often feature few goals, especially in the first half.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is balanced, with one win each and one draw in their last three meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Lazio on August 24, 2025. Given the current form and statistical trends, another low-scoring match seems likely. Lazio’s home struggles and Como’s defensive organization suggest that clear chances could be limited, especially early on.

From a betting perspective, the data supports a cautious outlook. Lazio’s matches have frequently seen one or both teams fail to score before half time, while Como’s away games often feature controlled tempo and disciplined defending. Both sides have averaged fewer than 1.5 goals conceded per game this season, reinforcing the expectation of a tight contest.

Lazio vs Como prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% probability.