Tools
Prediction published on Dec 18, 2025 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 18, 2025 6:01 PM
Lazio host Cremonese at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome for matchday 16 of Serie A, scheduled for Saturday, December 20 at 18:00. The home side enter this fixture as clear favourites, aiming to continue their positive run and edge closer to the European qualification zone. Meanwhile, the visitors have enjoyed a solid campaign so far but arrive in the capital looking to bounce back from a recent setback.
The Biancocelesti come into this match after a hard-fought 0-1 victory away to Parma on December 13, a result that extended their strong run of form. That win marked their tenth positive result in the last twelve matches across all competitions. In Serie A, Lazio currently sit 8th in the table with a record of 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been a key feature, with 9 clean sheets in 16 matches.
At home, Lazio have been particularly reliable, collecting four wins and two draws in their last six matches at the Olimpico, including a Coppa Italia success against Milan. The team’s recent performances have been characterised by low-scoring encounters: Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last ten matches, confirming their pragmatic and disciplined approach.
Despite several absences due to injuries and suspensions, Lazio’s squad depth has allowed them to remain competitive. The return of Mario Gila strengthens their defensive options, while the attacking trio of Pedro, Castellanos and Cancellieri will look to make the difference once again, supported by Noslin as an impact substitute.
Cremonese have been one of the pleasant surprises of this Serie A season, currently placed 11th with 20 points. However, their recent form has been inconsistent. The Grigiorossi suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Torino on December 13, ending a two-match winning streak that included victories over Bologna and Lecce. Their away performances have been mixed, alternating wins and losses over the last five trips, though they remain among the top six teams in the league for away results.
Statistically, Cremonese’s campaign has been balanced: 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their attack has shown flashes of quality, but maintaining consistency has been a challenge. The team will be without the suspended Martin Payero and the injured Alberto Grassi, forcing some reshuffling in midfield. In defence, Bianchetti’s return provides stability, while the attacking duo of Bonazzoli and Vardy will aim to exploit any gaps in Lazio’s backline.
Despite their recent dip, Cremonese remain a dangerous opponent, capable of troubling stronger sides when given space to counterattack. Their main objective will be to avoid a fifth defeat in seven matches and maintain their comfortable mid-table position.
This encounter promises to be a tactical battle between two teams with contrasting objectives. Lazio will look to dominate possession and impose their rhythm, relying on their defensive organisation and the creativity of their midfield to unlock the opposition. Their recent trend of low-scoring games suggests a controlled approach, prioritising balance over risk-taking.
Cremonese, on the other hand, are expected to adopt a more cautious setup, focusing on compactness and quick transitions. Their ability to remain disciplined without the ball could frustrate Lazio, especially in the early stages. However, the hosts’ superior technical quality and home advantage may eventually tilt the balance in their favour.
Historically, Lazio have dominated this fixture, winning all three of their previous meetings with an impressive average of 3.7 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded. Given their current momentum and the visitors’ inconsistency, the home side appear well-positioned to extend that record.
LAZIO (4-3-3): Provedel; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Cataldi, Vecino, Guendouzi; Pedro, Castellanos, Cancellieri.
CREMONESE (3-5-2): Carnesecchi; Terracciano, Bianchetti, Baschirotto; Sernicola, Pickel, Zerbin, Castagnetti, Valeri; Bonazzoli, Vardy.
All indicators point towards a tight but controlled match, with Lazio’s defensive strength and home form likely to prove decisive. Cremonese’s resilience could keep the scoreline close, yet the hosts’ superior quality and motivation to climb the table make them favourites to secure all three points.
Lazio vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lazio
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1