Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis - Serie A

Until just over a month ago it would have been a challenge between the intruders in the fight for the Scudetto, then a small physiological decline by Lazio and the collapse of Fiorentina will make this match on Sunday evening a more classic challenge that will have participation in the next Champions League at stake. Despite the double slowdown, the current situation of the two teams is very different and can be summed up well in the difference between the thunderous applause of the Olimpico at the end of Lazio's last match, the 3-1 winning Europa League against Real Sociedad and the heavy whistles of the Franchi stadium at the end of the last Viola match, the home draw in the championship with Torino. Lazio is undoubtedly arriving at the contest much better (and not only because of the last result), demonstrating that it has fully assimilated the game and the will of coach Baroni, while for Fiorentina the crisis is prolonged, unexpected in its duration and penalizing for what Viola had done in the first few months. Palladino tried to put out a fire that is still burning, speaking of a non-decisive match and a united dressing room, concepts that evidently also apply to Lazio, who however know that with first place in the Europa League and with their excellent conduct in the championship they are carving out a superior dimension that a victory in Sunday's match could really establish.

Lazio's shape and key statistics

Lazio's last two victories, one in the Europa League against Real Sociedad, the other against Verona, both clear, seal first place in Europe and fourth in Serie A for a truly positive seasonal picture so far.

In the league, however, the success at the Bentegodi was providential because it interrupted a small streak of 3 games without a win. If away from home, for now, in Serie A the Biancocelesti have fallen frequently, the same cannot be said for their home games: in addition to the very heavy 0-6 against Inter, there have been 6 wins and 3 draws for a more than positive run of form for a team that does not concede few goals (1.33 on average in Serie A) but scores many: with 37 goals, Lazio is in fact the third best attack in the league.

Fiorentina's shape and key statistics

Moise Kean's frequent goals are no longer enough to win: the former Juventus striker scored again in the last 1-1 against Torino but for the third time in a row, his goal was not enough to secure the victory.

Fiorentina has not won the three points for more than a month and the streak of games without a win has now reached 7 matches with a total score in the championship that is becoming increasingly "normal" and now says 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats while, to return to Kean, his numbers are certainly not common: with the goal against Torino, the striker of the Italian national team has reached 16 goals for the season and leaves a total void behind him.

Match prediction and tactical overview

Lazio is doing very well, mentally, in play and with their legs. For a Fiorentina that is unable to break free, getting a full result where only Inter has managed to do so, becomes difficult also considering the prolificacy of the Biancocelesti attack that has started scoring again in different ways and with different men, unlike Viola who, having blocked Kean, is proving to have few resources. Even in a general picture that the odds say is still relatively balanced, the BetMines algorithm prediction is home and assigns the non-defeated Lazio team double the chances compared to the 2 sign.

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Lazio - Fiorentina match predicts the 1X sign at 65%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Lazio - Fiorentina match predicts the 2 sign at 35%

Lazio - Fiorentina predicted lineups

Lazio (4-2-3-1): Provedel; Hysaj, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Rovella; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni; Castellanos. Coach: Baroni

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea, Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens; Adli, Mandragora; Colpani, Gudmundsson, Folorunsho; Kean. Coach: Palladino