At the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, on Sunday, November 23, Maurizio Sarri’s Lazio will host Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce in one of the most interesting matches of the 12th round of Serie A. The home side is seeking redemption after their defeat against Inter before the international break and aims to return to winning ways to reduce the gap from the European zone, currently four points away. A misstep, however, could complicate their push towards sixth place, Lazio’s seasonal goal to qualify for the next European competitions, a target missed last year. Lecce, for their part, travel to the Olimpico needing points to move away from the relegation zone. The Salentini are only three points clear of the third-to-last spot and must avoid defeat to preserve the progress made in recent weeks. All the ingredients are therefore in place for a high-intensity match between two teams motivated to win, albeit for different reasons: the home side aiming for a European place, and the visitors seeking confidence in their survival race.

Lazio's Recent Form and Key Stats

Lazio are enjoying a fairly positive period, having lost only once in their last seven matches. Their only recent defeat came just before the break, when Maurizio Sarri’s men were beaten 2-0 by Inter, with goals from Lautaro Martinez and Bonny.

The Biancocelesti are ninth in Serie A with 15 points, from 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.18 goals per game and conceding 0.82. The attack is showing some consistency, while the defense has been compact, keeping four clean sheets in the last five matches.

Sarri’s team has also shown strong home form this season, losing just once at the Olimpico and recording 3 wins and 1 draw. Lazio have been particularly solid at home, keeping clean sheets in their last two league matches against Juventus and Cagliari.

However, the coach will have to deal with several injuries, including Castellanos and Cancellieri in attack, Rovella in midfield, and Nuno Tavares on the left side of defense. The attacking burden will therefore fall mainly on Dia, supported by Isaksen and Zaccagni on the wings.

Lecce's Recent Form and Key Stats

Lecce are in good form, having collected four points in the last two Serie A rounds. After a 1-0 victory against Fiorentina, the Salentini could not repeat the result before the break, settling for a 0-0 home draw against Hellas Verona in a match that lacked excitement.

The Giallorossi are 15th in the Serie A table after eleven matches, with 10 points from 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 0.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their defense has been performing well recently, keeping clean sheets in the last two matches, while the attack is among the worst in the league with only 8 goals scored so far.

The Salentini have been inconsistent on the road, with two wins and two defeats in their last four away league matches. Overall, they have collected 7 points away from home this season, from 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, showing better performances away than at home.

Eusebio Di Francesco, familiar with Rome due to his past tenure with AS Roma, does not have any significant absences. Up front, the coach hopes Stulic will break his scoring drought, while Camarda starts on the bench after commitments with Italy U21.

Lazio vs Lecce prediction by BetMines

According to BetMines’ algorithm, Lazio are clear favorites in their home match against Lecce, aiming to secure three crucial points to get closer to the European zone. The Biancocelesti benefit from home advantage and a solid defense that has remained unbeaten in the last two matches at the Olimpico.

Lecce, despite performing better away than at home, may struggle to find the net. Their attack is among the weakest in Serie A and is unlikely to challenge an experienced defensive line led by Gila and Romagnoli, expected to dominate against Stulic, still searching for his first league goal.

Considering the visitors’ offensive difficulties and Lazio’s absences upfront, the match is expected to feature few goals. The prediction is for a narrow Lazio win, with decisive contributions from wingers Isaksen and Zaccagni, while Dia may struggle to trouble the opposition defense.

In addition to the 1 (Lazio win) with a 61% probability, BetMines also recommends Under 2.5 goals, a result that has occurred in Lazio’s last five matches and Lecce’s last three.

Probable Lineups Lazio vs Lecce

LAZIO (4-3-3): Provedel; Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, Marusic; Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni. Coach: Sarri

LECCE (4-3-3): Falcone; Veiga D, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani, Berisha; Banda, Stulic, Morente. Coach: Di Francesco