Tools
Prediction published on Aug 14, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 14, 2026 8:02 PM
Lazio begin their home Coppa Italia campaign against Mantova on Sunday, August 16, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:00 at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts enter this cup fixture after an encouraging sequence of results, while the visitors face a demanding test against a side described as possessing greater technical resources. Lazio have won their five most recent matches and also completed a perfect run through their summer friendlies, although those tests came against lower-category opposition. Mantova, meanwhile, arrive after a narrow defeat and with part of their attention already directed towards the start of their league campaign. The Coppa Italia ranking provided for this match places Lazio first and Mantova second, adding further interest to an encounter in which progression is the immediate objective.
Lazio approach the tie with a flawless record across their last five matches: five wins, no draws and no defeats. Their latest result was a 2-1 victory over Frosinone on August 9, 2026, extending a winning sequence that should provide confidence before their first home cup appearance of the season. The numbers from that five-game period are particularly striking, with Lazio averaging 4.0 goals scored per match and conceding an average of 1.0. Those figures underline the attacking output produced during the build-up to this fixture, even if the level of the summer opposition must be considered when assessing the strength of that run.
The match also represents an early opportunity for new coach Gennaro Gattuso to make an impact in a competitive home setting. Lazio are preparing for a season expected to contain significant challenges, so beginning the Coppa Italia campaign positively would help maintain the momentum established in recent weeks. The arrival of Frattesi has also attracted attention as the club begins to make moves in the market, while captain Mattia Zaccagni is among the important figures mentioned ahead of the contest.
Not every trend is entirely straightforward for the home side. Despite their strong full-time results, Lazio have been behind at half-time in seven of their last ten matches. That statistic suggests their recent victories have not always been built on comfortable starts. Their home fixtures have also produced fewer than 10.5 corners in each of the last 17 matches, showing a long-running pattern in that particular area. Lazio therefore combine excellent recent results and high scoring averages with evidence that the opening stages of their games can still present difficulties.
Mantova travel to face Lazio after losing 1-0 against AC Carpi on August 9, 2026. That setback interrupted their preparations and means they do not arrive with the same winning momentum as their opponents. Their overall five-match record is still competitive, however, consisting of three victories and two defeats, with no draws. Across those games, Mantova have averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, figures that point to eventful recent performances rather than a consistently cautious pattern.
The visitors understand the scale of the task presented by this Coppa Italia tie. The source material describes Lazio as the better-equipped squad, while Mantova enter with little external pressure and can approach the occasion without carrying the same level of expectation. Coach Francesco Modesto must prepare his team for a difficult cup assignment while the club’s principal focus remains its upcoming league debut. That context could allow Mantova to play with freedom, although their latest defeat gives them an immediate need to produce a stronger response.
There are notable first-half trends surrounding the away side. At least one goal has been scored before the interval in each of Mantova’s last ten away matches, while the same outcome has occurred in 18 of their previous 20 fixtures overall. Mantova have also led at half-time in six of their last ten games. These numbers indicate that their matches frequently become active before the break and that the visitors have often made a positive early impression, even though their complete five-game record contains two losses.
The contrast in recent results gives Lazio the stronger platform heading into this cup meeting. Five consecutive victories, an average of four goals scored per match during that sequence and home advantage all strengthen their position. Gattuso’s team will nevertheless need to avoid assuming that the tie will become comfortable immediately. Being behind at half-time in seven of the last ten matches is a clear warning that strong final outcomes have sometimes followed difficult opening periods.
Mantova can draw encouragement from their own first-half record. They have repeatedly been involved in away games containing an early goal and have held a half-time lead in six of their last ten matches. That makes the beginning of the contest especially relevant: Lazio will want to establish control and translate their recent scoring form into an assured performance, whereas Mantova may view a competitive opening as the best way to increase pressure on the hosts.
The wider match picture therefore combines Lazio’s excellent winning run with Mantova’s capacity to contribute to lively games. The visitors’ average of 3.2 goals scored across their last five matches is substantial, but their average of 1.8 conceded also highlights the defensive challenge they face against opponents currently producing four goals per game over the same span. Lazio’s longer-term corner trend suggests that their home matches do not necessarily require a very high corner count to develop, while both teams’ half-time statistics make the early phases difficult to overlook.
Ultimately, this Coppa Italia fixture offers Lazio a chance to confirm that their successful preparations can carry into a meaningful home contest. Mantova arrive as the side facing the greater challenge, but their positive results in three of the last five matches and their strong half-time trends mean concentration will be essential from the hosts. The team that advances will meet either Lecce or Palermo in the next round.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lazio
Mantova
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
6
4