Tools
Prediction published on May 21, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 21, 2026 5:01 PM
The final matchday of the Serie A 2025/26 season brings together two sides that have endured disappointing campaigns. Lazio host Pisa at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Saturday, May 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45. For the home side, this fixture represents a chance to end a frustrating year on a positive note, while the visitors will bid farewell to the top flight after a difficult season that ended in relegation.
Lazio approach this match after a 2-0 defeat in the Derby della Capitale against Roma, their third consecutive loss in all competitions. The team has struggled for consistency in recent weeks, also falling 2-0 to Inter in the Coppa Italia final. With 13 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats across the league campaign, Lazio’s record reflects a season of ups and downs, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
The Biancocelesti have been particularly poor in first halves, having lost at half time in their last five matches, including four straight in Serie A. Their attack has gone quiet, failing to score in the last three games, while defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Despite these issues, Lazio remain ninth in the table and will aim to defend that position to avoid slipping out of the top ten for the first time in over a decade.
Squad-wise, Lazio are dealing with several absences. Suspensions rule out Rovella, Taylor, and Tavares, while Patric, Motta, and Zaccagni remain doubtful. Romagnoli returns to strengthen the defense, but goalkeeper Provedel has already ended his season. The atmosphere in the stands may be subdued, as tensions between supporters and the club’s management continue to simmer.
For Pisa, this match marks the end of a tough return to Serie A. The Tuscan side’s relegation was confirmed earlier in May, and their recent form has been dire. They suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Napoli last weekend, extending their losing streak to eight consecutive league matches. Over that period, Pisa have scored just two goals while conceding 18, underlining their struggles at both ends of the pitch.
With only two wins and twelve draws from 37 matches, Pisa’s record (W2-D12-L23) reflects a team that never truly adapted to the demands of the top division. Their attack has been one of the weakest in Serie A, averaging just 0.7 goals per game, while conceding nearly two per match. Away from home, Pisa have been particularly poor, failing to win in their last 20 away fixtures.
Coach Oscar Hiljemark’s side will be without Caracciolo due to suspension, though Bozhinov and Loyola return. Moreo remains a doubt after picking up a knock against Napoli, while Coppola, Tramoni, and Denoon are also being assessed. Pisa are expected to line up with a cautious approach, focusing on damage limitation rather than chasing an unlikely win.
This fixture pits two teams in poor form against each other, but with very different motivations. Lazio will want to close their season with a victory in front of their fans, while Pisa simply aim to avoid another heavy defeat before returning to Serie B. The hosts have struggled to find the net recently, but their defensive organization and home advantage could prove decisive against a Pisa side that has lost confidence and rhythm.
Historically, meetings between these two clubs have been rare, with the last encounter ending 0-0 earlier this season. Given the statistics, another low-scoring affair seems likely. Lazio’s inability to score in recent matches and Pisa’s weak attack both point toward a tight contest with few chances. The visitors’ defensive frailties, however, could allow Lazio to finally break their goal drought.
Considering the data, the most probable scenario is that at least one team will fail to score. Pisa’s offensive struggles and Lazio’s recent lack of creativity suggest a cautious, low-tempo game where defenses dominate. The Biancocelesti remain favorites to win, but a narrow scoreline is expected.
Lazio vs Pisa prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – No with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lazio
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
7
3
2
8
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1