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Prediction published on Apr 25, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 25, 2026 6:02 PM
The Serie A weekend concludes with an intriguing clash between Lazio and Udinese, scheduled for Monday, April 27, 2026. The match at the Stadio Olimpico promises to be a tight affair between two sides that have shown contrasting forms in recent weeks. Lazio come into this fixture riding the emotional high of their Coppa Italia semifinal triumph, while Udinese continue to impress with their disciplined defensive displays and solid away record.
After securing a place in the Coppa Italia final with a dramatic penalty shootout win over Atalanta, Lazio return to league action looking to maintain momentum. The team currently sits ninth in Serie A, with a record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats. Their average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match reflects a balanced but cautious approach. In their last five league outings, Lazio have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding just 0.6.
At home, the Biancocelesti have been resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches at the Olimpico with two victories and two draws. However, they have struggled to find consistency on Mondays, registering two wins, three draws, and two defeats in their last seven such fixtures. Notably, at least one team failed to score in the first half in 29 of Lazio’s last 31 matches, underlining their tendency to start cautiously before opening up later in games.
In terms of personnel, Lazio will be without several key players. Mario Gila is sidelined due to an ankle injury sustained in the cup semifinal, while Adam Marusic remains doubtful. Nicolò Rovella, Ivan Provedel, and Alessio Furlanetto are also unavailable. With attacking options limited, wingers Matteo Cancellieri and Gustav Isaksen, both with four league goals, will be expected to shoulder the scoring burden once again.
Udinese enter this fixture sitting 11th in the Serie A standings, just behind their hosts. Their season record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The Friulani have shown impressive defensive solidity recently, conceding only one goal in their last four games. That lone goal came in their most recent outing, a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Parma.
Under Kosta Runjaic, Udinese have developed a reputation for being difficult to break down, particularly on the road. They have won their last two away matches, defeating Genoa 2-0 and Milan 3-0, and are now chasing a third consecutive away victory in Serie A for the first time since October 2022. Their recent form reads two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of one goal scored and just 0.4 conceded per game.
However, the visitors will have to cope without their top scorer Keinan Davis, who has reached double figures this season but remains unavailable. Without him, Udinese’s scoring average drops from 1.3 to 0.5 goals per match. In his absence, Nicolo Zaniolo could feature again, while Adam Buksa, Vakoun Bayo, and Idrissa Gueye are all potential options up front. Jesper Karlstrom is suspended, and both Jordan Zemura and Nicolò Bertola remain sidelined through injury.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting motivations. Lazio are eager to build on their cup success and close the gap to the European qualification spots, while Udinese aim to consolidate their mid-table position and continue their impressive away run. The hosts’ defensive organization has been a key strength, but fatigue from their recent cup commitments could play a role. Udinese’s compact shape and counter-attacking threat have proven effective against stronger sides, as shown in their recent victories over Genoa and Milan.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced. The last five head-to-head meetings have produced one win for Lazio, two draws, and two wins for Udinese, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded by the Biancocelesti. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in December 2025, suggesting another close contest could be on the cards. Given both teams’ current form and the statistical trends, a low-scoring but competitive match seems likely, with both sides capable of finding the net.
Lazio vs Udinese prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lazio
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1