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LDU Quito
3 - 0
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Central Cordoba SdE
Prediction published on May 26, 2025 4:59 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 28, 2025 9:20 AM
With just 90 minutes remaining in the Copa Libertadores group stage, Group C stands out as one of the most unpredictable and tightly contested in the competition. Surprisingly leading the group with 11 points is Central Córdoba, followed by Flamengo and LDU Quito, both sitting on 8 points—though the Brazilian giants edge ahead on goal difference. The most anticipated clash takes place at the Rodrigo Paz Delgado Stadium in Quito, where hosts LDU Quito welcome Central Córdoba in a match that could completely reshape the standings. The Ecuadorian side, struggling domestically (6th place, 10 points off the top), are in a must-win situation: only three points can keep their hopes alive for direct qualification to the Round of 16, while also keeping an eye on the Maracanã, where Flamengo—heavily favored—hosts bottom-placed Deportivo Táchira, still on zero points. On the other hand, the Argentinians—without league action due to their failure to qualify for the next round of the Torneo Betano Apertura—have their fate in their own hands: a draw would secure top spot in Group C regardless of what happens in Brazil. However, a defeat combined with a Flamengo win could see them drop to third place and forced into the playoffs, especially if goal difference doesn’t go in their favor. With just three points separating the top three teams and two high-stakes matches on the horizon, it’s very likely that goal difference will be the decisive factor in determining who advances directly and who must fight through the playoffs.
LDU Quito heads into this decisive Copa Libertadores clash without a win in their last three matches across all competitions. Following a 2-0 defeat away to Flamengo, they’ve only managed one point from two domestic fixtures: a 1-1 draw with Libertad and a 3-1 loss to Universidad Católica.
Despite the domestic struggles, their Libertadores campaign remains solid: 3rd place in Group C with 8 points—the same as Flamengo but with an inferior goal difference. Their record: 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss (against Flamengo), with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded.
One major source of optimism is their impressive home form—unbeaten in 16 consecutive home games across all competitions. However, they've drawn each of their last three home games, including a 0-0 against Flamengo.
After missing out on the knockout stage of the Torneo Betano Apertura, Central Córdoba played their last official match two weeks ago, securing a 2-1 away win over Deportivo Táchira in Copa Libertadores. That followed a commendable 1-1 draw with Flamengo, though they ended their domestic campaign with back-to-back losses to Independiente Rivadavia and Banfield.
Under coach Omar de Felippe, the team tops Group C with 11 points, boasting 3 wins and 2 draws. Their stats: the best attack in the group (1.4 goals per game) and a solid defense (0.8 goals conceded per game). Their standout result? A historic 2-1 away win over Flamengo back on April 10.
Away from the Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Central Córdoba have shown two sides: strong in Libertadores but weak in the league, where they've lost their last three away games. Their 2025 away record stands at 5 losses, 3 wins, and 1 draw in all competitions.
According to the BetMines algorithm, the final Group C showdown between LDU Quito and Central Córdoba is tipped in favor of the Ecuadorians. Coach Patricio Hurtado’s team will rely heavily on their formidable home advantage at the Rodrigo Paz Delgado, where they’re undefeated in 16 matches, to grab three vital points and keep their Round of 16 hopes alive.
Despite missing midfielder Carlos Gruezo through suspension, LDU Quito enter the game with determination. They managed to hold Central Córdoba to a 0-0 draw in Argentina in the reverse fixture, creating several scoring opportunities along the way.
Central Córdoba, undefeated in this Libertadores campaign, will feel the pressure: with Flamengo expected to beat Deportivo Táchira, there’s a real risk of dropping from first to third in just 90 minutes. This scenario demands composure and game management—qualities they’ve lacked in away league matches, where they've won only once in their last seven outings.
One to watch is striker Alex Arce, who has already netted 4 goals in 5 Libertadores appearances.
LDU QUITO (5-3-2): Valle; De la Cruz, Minda, Ade, Allala, Quinonez; Diaz, Cornejo, Alvarado; Alzugaray, Arce. Coach: Patricio Hurtado
CENTRAL CÓRDOBA (4-5-1): Aguerre; Moyano, Abascia, Rivero, Cufré; Galván, Perello, Barrera, Florentín, Angulo; Verone. Coach: Omar de Felippe
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
LDU Quito
Central Cordoba SdE
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2