LDU Quito host Mirassol on August 20, 2026, at 22:00 in the second leg of their Copa Libertadores round-of-16 tie. The contest at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado begins with the aggregate score level at 1-1 following the first meeting on August 13. With neither side holding an advantage, the return fixture will decide who progresses. LDU enter the match after a domestic victory and with stronger recent figures, while Mirassol arrive following a heavy defeat and a five-game winless run.

LDU Quito Recent Form and Key Statistics

LDU Quito prepared for this Copa Libertadores fixture by defeating Aucas 1-0 on August 17. That result improved their record across the last five matches to three wins, one draw and one defeat. During that sequence, they averaged 2.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game, numbers that underline a productive attack alongside a relatively controlled defensive record.

Their Copa Libertadores campaign has produced four victories, one draw and two defeats. LDU have averaged 1.3 goals per game in the competition while allowing 0.9, giving them a positive scoring balance over those seven matches. The home side are also listed first in the supplied Copa Libertadores ranking, with Mirassol second.

Several trends suggest that LDU's matches have generally remained within a controlled scoring range. Each of their last 11 games finished with under 3.5 total goals, while the opening halves of all 11 produced fewer than two goals. At least one side also failed to score before half-time in 30 of LDU's previous 31 matches. Despite those cautious first-half patterns, LDU have led at the interval in eight of their last 13 home fixtures in the Copa Libertadores.

Michael Estrada scored LDU's goal in the 1-1 first leg and has found the net five times across his last five appearances. His recent return makes him an important figure for the hosts in a tie requiring a decisive result. Deyverson has also contributed two goals for LDU during the current Copa Libertadores edition.

Mirassol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mirassol make the trip after losing 5-1 against Flamengo on August 16. They have not won any of their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats. Across that period, Mirassol averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, leaving a clear contrast with LDU's recent averages.

Their overall Copa Libertadores record is nevertheless identical to that of the hosts: four wins, one draw and two losses. Mirassol have scored an average of 1.1 goals per competition match and conceded 0.7. Those tournament figures are more encouraging than their latest five-game sequence, although their away record presents a significant concern: they have conceded at least once in each of their last 16 away matches.

The source material also notes that Mirassol have managed only one victory across their previous nine away games. Their task is therefore to improve a difficult run on the road while responding to the 5-1 loss in their most recent outing. The first-leg draw means they remain level in the tie, but they were unable to build an advantage while playing at home.

Eduardo has scored twice for Mirassol in this Copa Libertadores campaign, including their goal in the first leg. Igor Formiga has registered four goals in the Brazilian Serie A season despite playing as a defender. These contributions show that Mirassol's scoring threat is not limited to one area, even though the team's recent overall average stands below one goal per match.

LDU Quito vs Mirassol Match Analysis

This will be the fourth meeting between the teams. The three completed encounters have produced one LDU victory, one draw and one Mirassol victory, with LDU averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting ended 1-1, and all three previous head-to-head matches finished with fewer than three total goals. The only earlier game played at LDU's ground ended in a victory for the Ecuadorian side.

The statistical picture points toward a match in which LDU Quito carry the stronger recent momentum. They have won three of their last five games, score an average of 2.0 across that run and come directly from a clean-sheet victory. Mirassol, by comparison, are winless in five, have lost three times and recently conceded five goals. Their sequence of conceding in 16 consecutive away fixtures further strengthens the home side's case.

The supplied probabilities give LDU a 54% chance of victory, compared with 25% for the draw and 21% for a Mirassol win. The decimal odds also position the hosts as favorites, with LDU offered at 1.57, the draw at 3.90 and Mirassol at 6.25. These figures align with the difference in recent form and Mirassol's ongoing difficulties away from home.

Goals data adds another layer to the preview. Under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring are each assessed at 53%, while over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring stand at 47%. The three low-scoring head-to-head encounters and LDU's run of 11 matches under 3.5 goals support the possibility of another measured contest. However, LDU's recent scoring average, their home setting and Mirassol's record of conceding on the road provide the clearest basis for favoring a home victory in this decisive second leg.

LDU Quito vs Mirassol prediction from BetMines: LDU Quito win (1) with 54% probability.