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Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 7:11 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 7:11 PM
Le Havre host Angers SCO at the Stade Océane on September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. This Ligue 1 match brings together two teams looking for early-season momentum. The hosts are 16th after collecting one point from their opening three league fixtures, while the visitors sit 12th with three points. Le Havre are still searching for their first Ligue 1 victory of the campaign and have conceded in every league game so far. Angers have already recorded one win, although they have also suffered two defeats. With both clubs viewed as possible rivals in the battle to remain in the division, the outcome could carry significance beyond the points available on the night.
Le Havre have begun their Ligue 1 campaign with no wins, one draw and two defeats. They opened with a 1-0 loss against AS Monaco before earning a 1-1 draw with Lyon. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat against Brest on September 5, a match affected by the dismissal of Junior Mwanga shortly before half-time.
Across their last five matches, Le Havre have registered one victory, one draw and three losses. During that sequence, they averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their league averages are slightly lower in attack, standing at 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 allowed. Those figures underline the challenge facing a side that has yet to keep a clean sheet in the new Ligue 1 season.
The broader scoring trends point towards controlled totals rather than particularly open contests. Fewer than 3.5 total goals have been recorded in 28 of Le Havre's last 30 matches, while the same outcome has occurred in 27 of their last 29 Ligue 1 games. Their three league results this season have also contained no more than three goals. However, only three of their last 13 home matches ended without a goal, suggesting that a completely scoreless fixture has been relatively uncommon.
Le Havre must also manage a difficult personnel situation. Lionel Mpasi suffered an Achilles tendon problem in the previous match and is expected to be absent for several months. Stephan Zagadou, Rassoul Ndiaye and Felix Mambimbi are also unavailable, while Mwanga is suspended. Paul Argney, Ahmed Touba, Enzo Koffi and Amir Richardson remain doubtful.
With Mpasi unavailable, Gauthier Gallon is expected to take responsibility in goal. Ayumu Seko will be an important figure in defence, while Simon Ebonog could have a notable role amid the midfield uncertainty. In attack, Ally Samatta and Rayan Fofana have already scored this season. Josh Maja and Sota Nakamura are still waiting to open their accounts.
Angers SCO have taken three points from their first three Ligue 1 matches, recording one win and two defeats. Their campaign began with a 2-0 loss to Lille, but they responded by defeating AJ Auxerre 3-1 away from home. Angers then lost 2-1 to Rennes on September 6. In that match, they conceded twice inside the opening 20 minutes before reducing the deficit shortly before the interval. They could not find an equaliser despite producing close to eight shots during the second half.
The visitors' last five-match record is stronger than Le Havre's, with three victories and two defeats. Angers averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over those games. In Ligue 1 this season, their corresponding averages are 1.3 scored and 1.7 allowed. Their opening three results have all produced at least two total goals, including four in the victory at Auxerre.
Angers have struggled to establish half-time leads over an extended period. They have not won at half-time in any of their last 17 Ligue 1 matches and have been behind at the interval in seven of their last 11 league fixtures. The same seven-from-11 trend also applies across their matches in all competitions. Avoiding another slow start will therefore be a central issue against a Le Havre side eager to make home advantage count.
Haris Belkebla is the only stated absentee for Angers. Anthony Lopes offers experience in goal, with Joseph Kalulu, Jordan Lefort and Carlens Arcus among the defensive options. Arcus scored against Rennes, while Branco van den Boomen has made a decisive contribution in each of the last two rounds. Yassin Belkhdim is another midfield option, and Amine Sbaï will look to trouble the home defence. Amine El Ouazzani has started the season with one goal and one assist.
The form comparison gives Angers SCO a modest statistical edge. The stated win probabilities are 32% for Le Havre, 27% for the draw and 41% for Angers. The visitors have won three of their last five matches, whereas Le Havre have lost three times during the same span. Even so, neither side has demonstrated consistent league form, and Angers' recurring problems before half-time could give the hosts opportunities to impose themselves early.
The head-to-head record offers little separation. Across the supplied summary, Le Havre have one win, Angers have one win and three meetings have ended level. Both sides averaged 0.8 goals in those encounters, while the most recent match finished 1-1 on April 18, 2026. That balance, combined with Le Havre's strong Under 3.5 trend, suggests another game that may remain competitive without developing into an especially high-scoring contest.
At the same time, there is support for more than one goal. Each of Angers' first three Ligue 1 fixtures has cleared that mark, as have Le Havre's last two league games. Both teams have conceded in their two most recent matches, and neither has produced a convincing defensive start to the season. The available probabilities place Both Teams To Score at 51% and Under 2.5 goals at 53%, illustrating the fine margins around the expected scoring pattern. A total of two or three goals would fit several of the strongest trends surrounding this fixture.
Le Havre vs Angers SCO prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Le Havre
Angers SCO
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2