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Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 3:39 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 3:39 PM
Le Havre host Auxerre at Stade Océane on Sunday, October 18, with kick-off scheduled for 15:15 local time. The Ligue 1 fixture brings together two sides looking for points after difficult starts to the season. Le Havre are 18th and have yet to win in six league matches, while 16th-placed Auxerre have won twice but arrive after a 4-1 defeat to Rennes. Their contrasting recent results make this a significant meeting between teams close to the bottom of the table.
Le Havre have taken two points from their opening six Ligue 1 games, drawing twice and losing four times. Their draws came against Lyon, 1-1, and Angers, 0-0. Defeats to Monaco, Brest, Toulouse and LOSC Lille have left them searching for a first league victory, with the latest setback a 1-0 loss to Lille on October 10.
Goals have been difficult to find consistently. Le Havre average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league match this season. The scoreless draw with Angers and the narrow defeats to Monaco and Lille illustrate why a single goal could have considerable weight in this fixture. At home, four of their last 13 Ligue 1 matches finished with no goals scored by either side, a figure that underlines the possibility of another tight contest at Stade Océane.
Le Havre also have several absences to manage. Lionel Mpasi, Elias Jelert, Timothée Pembélé, Stephan Zagadou and Felix Mambimbi are injured, while Ayumu Seko is suspended after his dismissal against Lille. In attack, Ally Samatta has scored twice in Ligue 1 this season. His contribution could be especially important for a side still trying to turn competitive performances into a first league win.
Auxerre lost their first three Ligue 1 matches, conceding five against Lens and three apiece against Angers and Lyon. Their results improved with consecutive victories over Nice, 1-0, and Brest, 2-1. That run ended with a 4-1 defeat away to Rennes on October 11, although two of the goals they conceded came in second-half stoppage time.
With two wins and four defeats from six league games, Auxerre sit 16th. They average 1.3 goals scored per match but have conceded 2.7 per game, a figure that shows their defensive difficulties have persisted despite the recent wins. Across their last five matches, they have recorded three victories and two defeats. There has also been at least one second-half goal, scored by either team, in each of Auxerre's last 11 Ligue 1 fixtures.
Cameron Archer has made an immediate impact in front of goal, scoring four times in his first four Ligue 1 appearances for Auxerre. His form offers the visitors a clear attacking source against a Le Havre side averaging fewer than one goal per league game. Auxerre will, however, be without Marvin Senaya, Bryan Okoh, Telli Siwe, Sékou Fofana, Rayan Mandengue and Assane Dioussé for this trip.
The recent results point in different directions. Le Havre remain without a league win, whereas Auxerre have won two of their last three Ligue 1 matches. Yet Auxerre's season-long defensive record gives the hosts an opportunity: the visitors have conceded an average of 2.7 goals per league game. Le Havre's challenge is to make use of that vulnerability despite their own low scoring average.
The head-to-head figures add another consideration. From Le Havre's perspective, the recorded summary against Auxerre stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their most recent meeting finished 1-1 on April 5, 2026. Those results do not erase Auxerre's recent improvement, but they offer Le Havre some encouragement before this home fixture.
Auxerre's wins over Nice and Brest show they can respond after a poor opening run, and Archer's goals give them a route to troubling the hosts. Le Havre, meanwhile, have home advantage and a stronger head-to-head record, even if their first league victory remains elusive. A close match is plausible given those competing factors, with the outcome likely to depend on whether Le Havre can improve their finishing or Auxerre can limit the chances they concede.
Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction from BetMines: Le Havre or Draw (1X) with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Le Havre
Auxerre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
7
3
7
3