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Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 5:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 5:04 PM
Le Havre AC and LOSC Lille face off at the Stade Océane in a Ligue 1 clash that promises to be a test of ambition and consistency. The hosts are focused on securing safety as early as possible, while the visitors aim to strengthen their grip on a top-four position. With both sides coming off contrasting results, this encounter could have a significant impact on their respective campaigns.
Le Havre AC enter this fixture sitting 13th in Ligue 1, just three points above the relegation zone. Didier Digard’s men have shown resilience in recent weeks, managing a four-match unbeaten streak before the international break. However, their momentum was halted by a heavy 3-0 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain last weekend, a reminder of the gulf that still exists between them and the league’s elite.
Across their last five matches, Le Havre have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match. The team’s home form has been a relative strength — they have scored at least once in each of their last 13 home games in Ligue 1, showing that they rarely fail to find the net in front of their supporters.
In terms of personnel, Le Havre will be without Ally Samatta and Abdoulaye Touré, both sidelined through injury, while Thomas Delaine remains doubtful. Defensive leaders Gautier Lloris and Arouna Sangante will be crucial in containing Lille’s attacking threats, while goalkeeper Mory Diaw is expected to play a key role. Offensively, Issa Soumaré has been one of the bright spots this season, contributing 3 goals and 2 assists so far.
LOSC Lille arrive in Normandy full of confidence after a strong run of results across all competitions. Bruno Génésio’s side currently occupy 4th place in Ligue 1 and are determined to stay within the Champions League qualification zone. Their recent 4-0 victory over Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League was a statement of intent, following a 4-2 win against Paris FC in the domestic league. These back-to-back wins have reignited their attacking momentum, with the team scoring eight goals in their last two matches.
In their last five outings, Lille have registered 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the season, their Ligue 1 record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Notably, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 away fixtures in the league, underlining their attacking approach even on the road.
Despite several absentees — including Marc-Aurèle Caillard, Ousmane Touré, Alexsandro, Rafael Fernandes, and Calvin Verdonk — Lille’s depth remains impressive. Chancel Mbemba has been solid in defense, while Benjamin André and Ayyoub Bouaddi provide balance in midfield. Up front, veterans Olivier Giroud and Hamza Igamane have rediscovered their scoring touch, with Giroud netting a brace against Paris FC and Igamane scoring in Europe. Their partnership could once again prove decisive at the Stade Océane.
This matchup pits a defensively disciplined side against one of the most dynamic attacks in the league. Le Havre will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on compactness and counterattacks, while Lille are expected to dominate possession and create chances through their experienced forwards. The hosts’ defensive organization will be tested by Lille’s fluid front line, which has been in prolific form recently.
Historically, Lille have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory in February 2025. Le Havre’s challenge will be to contain Lille’s offensive rhythm while capitalizing on any opportunities from set pieces or transitions. Given the visitors’ attacking momentum and the hosts’ recent struggles against top-tier opponents, this encounter could tilt in favor of the away side.
Le Havre AC vs LOSC Lille prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a LOSC Lille win (2) with a 48% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Le Havre win (1) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Le Havre
LOSC Lille
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
8
2
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0