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Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre AC and Olympique Lyonnais promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this encounter at the Stade Océane brings together two teams with very different ambitions. The hosts are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while the visitors are pushing to consolidate their position in the top four and keep their European hopes alive. With both sides struggling for consistency in recent weeks, this match could prove decisive for their respective objectives.
Le Havre enter this fixture in a difficult moment. The team has suffered three consecutive defeats in Ligue 1, including a 2-0 loss to Brest on March 8, and has slipped to 14th place in the standings. Despite maintaining a seven-point cushion above the relegation zone, their recent performances have raised concerns. The side has recorded just two wins in their last five matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Throughout the season, Le Havre’s attacking output has been modest, averaging only 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.3. Their home form has also been underwhelming, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last ten home fixtures. The team has struggled to start games strongly, failing to win at half time in 21 of their last 22 Ligue 1 matches. Moreover, they have lost at half time in each of their last three league outings, a trend they will be eager to reverse.
Injuries and suspensions have not helped their cause. Key defender Gautier Lloris remains sidelined, while Simon Ebonog is suspended. Loïc Nego is doubtful, though the possible return of Abdoulaye Touré could provide a boost in midfield. The creative spark of Issa Soumaré, who has contributed six goals and two assists this season, will be crucial if Le Havre are to rediscover their scoring touch.
Olympique Lyonnais arrive at the Stade Océane looking to bounce back after a challenging run. The visitors have gone five matches without a win across all competitions, drawing three and losing two. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to Celta de Vigo in the Europa League on March 12. Despite this dip in form, Lyon remain fourth in Ligue 1, with a record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
The team’s attacking consistency has been one of their strengths, having scored at least once in each of their last 18 matches. Away from home, they tend to start brightly, winning at half time in six of their last ten Ligue 1 away fixtures. However, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, as reflected in their average of two goals conceded per match over the last five games.
Lyon’s squad remains depleted by injuries. Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Ruben Kluivert, Ernest Nuamah, Malick Fofana, Afonso Moreira, and Pavel Sulc are all unavailable, while Clinton Mata is suspended. Rémi Himbert also joined the injury list after the midweek European fixture. Nevertheless, key players such as Dominik Greif in goal, Moussa Niakhaté in defense, and midfielders Tyler Morton and Corentin Tolisso remain available. Up front, Endrick will once again be the main attacking threat after scoring the equalizer against Celta de Vigo.
This matchup pits a struggling home side against a visiting team eager to regain momentum. Le Havre have been defensively compact but lack cutting edge in attack, failing to score in their last three Ligue 1 matches. Their recent trend of low-scoring games suggests a cautious approach, especially against a technically superior opponent. The fact that Under 3.5 goals has been recorded in each of their last 18 matches underlines their conservative style.
Lyon, on the other hand, have shown resilience despite their injury crisis. Their attacking line, led by Endrick, has managed to find the net consistently, but defensive vulnerabilities have prevented them from turning draws into victories. The visitors’ ability to control possession and create chances could prove decisive against a Le Havre side that often struggles to recover from early setbacks.
Historically, Lyon hold the upper hand in this fixture, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five meetings, averaging two goals scored per match. The most recent encounter ended 1-0, highlighting the likelihood of another tight contest. Given the current form of both teams, a low-scoring game seems probable, with Lyon having the edge in quality and experience.
Le Havre vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction from BetMines: Olympique Lyonnais win (2) with 49% probability.
With both teams under pressure for different reasons, Lyon’s superior attacking record and experience make them slight favorites. Le Havre’s recent struggles in front of goal and their inability to dominate at home could tilt the balance in favor of the visitors. Expect a disciplined performance from Lyon, who will aim to secure a narrow but valuable victory to strengthen their top-four position.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Le Havre
Olympique Lyonnais
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2