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Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 8:01 PM
The 24th round of Ligue 2 concludes with an intriguing clash between Le Mans FC and EA Guingamp, scheduled for Monday evening. The home side, newly promoted, continues to attract attention both on and off the pitch. With new investors and growing ambitions, Le Mans are aiming to consolidate their position among the top teams in the division. Despite a recent 4-2 defeat to Montpellier, they remain in the upper part of the table and will look to bounce back in front of their supporters. Guingamp, meanwhile, are struggling to find consistency and risk losing further ground in the race for promotion.
Le Mans have enjoyed a solid campaign so far, sitting 4th in Ligue 2 with a record of 10 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match reflects a balanced side capable of competing with anyone in the league. The recent loss against Montpellier ended a long unbeaten run, but the team’s home form remains impressive. They have not lost in their last nine home fixtures and have avoided defeat at half-time in their last 14 home matches.
Defensively, Le Mans tend to start games cautiously. In fact, under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 13 home matches, showing their ability to control the tempo early on. They have also drawn at half-time in eight of their last nine home games, a sign of their disciplined approach. Offensively, the team averages 1.2 goals per match over their last five outings, while conceding 1.6 on average. Despite the recent setback, the home side’s resilience and consistency at the Stade Marie-Marvingt make them a tough opponent for any visitor.
Guingamp currently occupy 11th place in Ligue 2, with a record of 9 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, alternating between solid performances and disappointing results. The team’s average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game highlights both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. In their most recent match, they suffered a 1-2 defeat against Saint-Étienne, following a goalless draw with Dunkerque and a 3-1 loss to Montpellier. These results have left them six points adrift of the top five.
Guingamp’s away form has been mixed, with only two of their last ten away matches in Ligue 2 featuring under 0.5 total goals. They tend to be involved in open contests, but their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. To get back on track, they will need to rediscover the efficiency that characterized their early-season performances.
The recent meetings between Le Mans and Guingamp have been lively affairs. Their last encounter ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, and overall, Guingamp have had the upper hand with three wins in the last five head-to-heads. However, Le Mans’ current home form could tilt the balance this time. The hosts have shown great discipline at the back, rarely trailing at half-time, while Guingamp’s defense has struggled to maintain focus for the full 90 minutes.
Given the statistical trends, this match could start cautiously before opening up in the second half. Le Mans’ ability to control the rhythm early on and capitalize on home advantage might prove decisive. Guingamp, on the other hand, will rely on their attacking creativity to break down a well-organized defense. Both teams have averaged around 1.2 goals per game recently, suggesting a balanced contest with limited scoring opportunities.
Based on the available data, Le Mans appear slightly favored to avoid defeat, especially considering their strong home record and Guingamp’s recent struggles. The match could feature a low number of goals, as both sides tend to keep things tight in the first half. A cautious start followed by a more open second period seems likely, but the hosts’ consistency at home gives them an edge.
Le Mans FC vs EA Guingamp prediction from BetMines: Le Mans FC win (1) with 39% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Le Mans
Guingamp
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1