At the Stadio Via del Mare, the 33rd round of Serie A kicks off with a high-stakes relegation battle between Lecce, currently fourth from bottom and just two points above the drop zone, and Como, who sit 13th, enjoying a 12-point cushion over the relegation places. Given their precarious position in the table, Lecce's only objective is victory in this must-win encounter to keep their hopes of survival alive—especially with Empoli vs Venezia, another crucial relegation six-pointer, taking place on Sunday afternoon. The result from Stadio Castellani could open new scenarios for Lecce, who risk dropping into the bottom three if they lose to Como, undoing months of hard-fought progress. To make matters worse, Lecce’s upcoming fixtures include matches against Atalanta and Napoli, where points may be hard to come by before facing Verona in another crucial relegation clash on May 11. Meanwhile, the mood is much brighter in the Como camp. Except for their early-season struggles, Cesc Fabregas' side have looked capable of comfortably achieving their season target: avoiding relegation. The January transfer window significantly boosted the team’s quality, with signings like Assane Diao and Tasos Douvikas proving vital—the latter scored the winner in their latest league victory over Torino. A win at Lecce would mark a massive step toward Como's Serie A survival, especially if Empoli and Venezia fail to win. In that scenario, Como’s lead over the third-from-bottom side would stretch to 14 points with just five games remaining.

Lecce's Recent Form and Key Stats

Lecce suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Juventus, marking their sixth loss in their last seven Serie A matches. Marco Giampaolo’s side haven’t won a game since January 31 and are sitting just two points ahead of Empoli and Venezia, both on 24 points. In their last 5 games, Lecce have earned just 1 point, with 4 losses and a draw, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match.

Lecce also have the worst attack in Serie A with only 23 goals in 32 games (0.72 goals per match), and the second-worst defense, having conceded 52 times (1.63 goals per game). At home, they are winless in their last 8 matches, recording 5 defeats and 3 draws—their last home win was a 2-1 result against Monza back on December 15.

Como's Recent Form and Key Stats

Como are enjoying a positive run of form, coming off a 1-0 win over Torino, thanks to Douvikas' second goal of the season. That marked their second consecutive win after beating Monza 3-1, and their third game unbeaten, counting the previous 1-1 draw against Empoli.

Fabregas' squad is the highest-scoring team among the bottom half of the table, with 40 goals scored (1.25 goals per match), although they concede 1.5 on average. Away from home, they have claimed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, collecting 13 of their 36 total points on the road.

Lecce vs Como Prediction and Tactical Preview

Lecce and Como have met four times in recent years across Serie A, Coppa Italia, and Serie C. The head-to-head is balanced: one win each and two draws. The first-leg clash this season ended in a 2-0 win for Como, with goals from Nico Paz (questionable for this match) and Patrick Cutrone.

This season, Lecce have struggled to finish their chances, even at home. Krstovic and company have only found the net twice in their last 7 home matches at Via del Mare.

Como, on the other hand, will likely stick to their attacking approach, having scored first in 7 of their last 8 games. Key players to watch include Nikola Krstovic (10 league goals) and Assane Diao, who has scored 2 goals in Como’s last 4 away matches.

Given the pressure and stakes, this could be a tight and cautious affair. The BetMines prediction algorithm for Lecce vs Como leans slightly toward a low-scoring match.

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Lecce vs Como predicts Over 2.5 goals at 47%.
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Lecce vs Como predicts Under 2.5 goals at 53%. 

Lecce vs Como Predicted Lineups

Lecce (4-2-3-1): Falcone; Gilbert, Baschirotto, Gaspar, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani; Pierotti, Helgason, Morente; Krstovic. Manager: Giampaolo

Como (4-2-3-1): Butez; Vojvoda, Goldaniga, Kempf, Moreno; Da Cunha, Caqueret; Ikone, Nico Paz, Diao; Douvikas. Manager: Fabregas