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Prediction published on Dec 10, 2025 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 10, 2025 7:01 PM
The 15th round of Serie A opens with a crucial relegation battle on Friday, December 12, 2025, as Lecce host Pisa at the Stadio Via del Mare. Both teams are desperate for points to climb out of the danger zone, with Lecce sitting just above the relegation line and Pisa trailing by three points. The match promises tension and intensity, as neither side can afford another setback at this stage of the season.
After a thrilling victory over Torino, secured thanks to a last-minute penalty save by Wladimiro Falcone, Lecce suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Cremonese in their most recent outing. Despite that loss, Eusebio Di Francesco’s men have shown resilience at home, losing only one of their last five matches at the Via del Mare. Their home form has been a key factor in keeping them just outside the bottom three.
In Serie A this season, Lecce have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The team’s main issue has been their lack of attacking efficiency, having failed to score in three of their last four league matches. Midfielder Medon Berisha has been one of the few bright spots, directly involved in four of Lecce’s last five goals. His partnership with Ylber Ramadani in midfield remains crucial for the team’s balance and creativity.
At home, Lecce have drawn at half-time in seven of their last eight Serie A fixtures, showing a tendency to start cautiously before opening up in the second half. The defensive unit, led by Falcone, has been relatively solid, but the lack of goals from forwards Nikola Stulic and Francesco Camarda continues to be a concern. Injuries to Gaby Jean, Filip Marchwinski, and Balthazar Pierret further limit Di Francesco’s options, forcing him to rely heavily on his midfielders for attacking contributions.
Pisa come into this match after a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Parma, a result that left them in 18th place with just one win from 14 matches. Under Alberto Gilardino, the team has struggled to convert draws into victories, with a record of 1 win, 7 draws, and 6 losses. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, mirroring Lecce’s numbers. Their main attacking threat, M’Bala Nzola, will be unavailable due to suspension after being sent off in the previous round, a major blow for the Tuscan side.
Despite their struggles at home, Pisa have shown some resilience on the road, drawing their last three away matches by the same 2-2 scoreline. Interestingly, they scored first in two of those games, demonstrating their ability to start strong even in difficult environments. However, they are still chasing their first away win in Serie A since March 1991, a statistic that underlines their long-standing difficulties outside the Arena Garibaldi.
Gilardino faces additional selection headaches, with Calvin Stengs, Juan Cuadrado, and Daniel Denoon all sidelined through injury. In attack, Henrik Meister is expected to lead the line, supported by either Stefano Moreo or Matteo Tramoni. There is also uncertainty in goal, as Adrian Semper could return to replace Simone Scuffet, who started the last match. Pisa’s defensive organization will be key if they are to take anything from this trip to Lecce.
This fixture marks the first Serie A meeting between Lecce and Pisa in over three decades, with their last top-flight encounter at the Via del Mare ending 1-1. Historically, Lecce have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning five of the last eight meetings. The home side’s defensive discipline and Pisa’s tendency to draw make this a potentially tight and low-scoring contest.
Both teams have struggled offensively this season, each barely reaching double digits in goals scored. Lecce’s home advantage and Pisa’s poor away record suggest that the hosts might have a slight edge, but given their shared scoring issues, a cautious and tactical battle is expected. Lecce’s midfield duo of Berisha and Ramadani will be crucial in controlling possession, while Pisa will rely on quick transitions and set pieces to create danger.
Statistically, Lecce’s matches often feature few goals, with Under 2.5 goals occurring in the majority of their recent fixtures. Pisa’s recent 2-2 away draws are exceptions rather than the rule, and without Nzola, their attacking threat could be significantly reduced. Both sides are likely to prioritize avoiding defeat over taking risks, making this a match where defensive solidity could decide the outcome.
LECCE (4-3-3): Falcone; Gendrey, Pongracic, Baschirotto, Gallo; Ramadani, Berisha, Gonzalez; Strefezza, Stulic, Banda. Coach: E. Di Francesco
PISA (4-2-3-1): Semper; Beruatto, Leverbe, Canestrelli, Esteves; Marin, Nagy; Tramoni, Moreo, Valoti; Meister. Coach: A. Gilardino
The most likely outcome is a Lecce win (1) with a 36% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 32%, while a Pisa win (2) stands at 33%. Given both teams’ low scoring averages and recent defensive trends, a tight match with few goals is expected at the Via del Mare.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lecce
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2