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Prediction published on Mar 25, 2025 2:26 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 25, 2025 4:27 PM
At the Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce is desperately seeking crucial points for survival as they host the most in-form team in Serie A: Claudio Ranieri’s Roma. The Giallorossi have collected more points than any other Serie A team in 2025, even surpassing league leaders Inter. This impressive run, combined with their six consecutive victories, has propelled Roma into contention for a European spot. They are now just a few points away from fourth place—an achievement that seemed impossible a couple of months ago. To put things into perspective, Roma finished the first half of the season in ninth place, nine points away from sixth. Now, that gap has been reduced to just one. On the other hand, Lecce is in dire need of points. Four consecutive losses have cut their cushion above the relegation zone to just three points, with Parma and Venezia showing signs of resurgence. Securing a result against Roma, despite the visitors' strong form, would be crucial for Lecce's morale ahead of their key relegation battle against Venezia on April 6.
Lecce comes into this clash after four consecutive Serie A defeats, the latest being a 2-1 loss against Genoa before the international break. Nikola Krstovic, their main attacking threat, scored again, taking his tally to 10 goals this season.
Despite scoring three goals in their last two games, Lecce still has the worst attack in Serie A with just 21 goals (0.87 per game).
The Via del Mare is no longer a fortress—Lecce has managed only three home wins, alongside five draws and six defeats. Their last home victory dates back to December 15, when they beat Monza 2-1.
Roma is experiencing a completely different moment. Their 1-0 win over Cagliari, thanks to a decisive goal from Dovbyk, extended their unbeaten Serie A run to 13 matches.
Ranieri’s side has collected the most points in Serie A in 2025—29 from 11 matches.
The Giallorossi are on a six-game winning streak, with goalkeeper Svilar keeping five clean sheets. They haven’t lost away from home since December 15 (2-0 against Como). Since then, they have recorded two away draws and four consecutive away wins (against Udinese, Venezia, Parma, and Empoli).
Roma has showcased defensive solidity in recent weeks, conceding just one goal in their last five league games. That solitary goal was conceded at home against Como, giving them confidence ahead of this away fixture.
One slight issue for Ranieri’s side away from home is their tendency to keep matches close. Their last three league away wins have all been 1-0 victories.
Looking at this Lecce vs Roma clash, we can expect a hard-fought battle, with both teams looking for a win but prioritizing defensive stability.
The higher quality of Roma’s squad could prove decisive over 90 minutes, potentially allowing them to secure all three points with minimal effort, similar to their recent away matches.
Despite the absence of Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé is in excellent form, with two goals and one assist in his last five Serie A appearances.
Considering these elements, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Lecce vs Roma leans clearly towards the victory of the guests.
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo; Coulibaly, Berisha, Helgason; Pierotti, Krstovic, Morente. Coach: Giampaolo.
Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Koné, Paredes, Angelino; Baldanzi, Soulé; Dovbyk. Coach: Ranieri.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lecce
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3