On Saturday, October 18, at the Via del Mare Stadium, an interesting Serie A Matchday 7 clash will take place between Lecce and Sassuolo, with both teams coming off victories in their last league matches before the international break. After the first six rounds of Serie A, the hosts have collected five points and currently sit in 15th place, while the visitors are ninth, four points ahead of the Salentini. Eusebio Di Francesco’s Lecce — with the coach facing his former team — must win to build on their recent success away to Parma and to secure their first home victory of the season. Fabio Grosso’s Sassuolo, after a difficult start, seem to have found their rhythm and are aiming for a third consecutive Serie A win to keep a safe distance from the relegation zone and establish themselves in mid-table security. Looking at the standings, Lecce will need to take the initiative to avoid slipping into the lower end of the table, while Sassuolo can play with less pressure and a freer mindset, since they are not under immediate threat.

Lecce's form and key stats

Despite the 1–0 win away at Parma on October 4 (thanks to a goal from Sottil), Lecce’s overall form remains uncertain. Over their last five matches in all competitions, the Salentini have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 2.2.

After six Serie A games, Eusebio Di Francesco’s side sit just above the relegation zone with 5 points — 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 defeats — averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their main weakness continues to be defense, as they have the second-worst backline in the league with 10 goals conceded.

At home, Lecce’s record in the 2025/26 Serie A season stands at 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per match. Their only home success so far came in the Coppa Italia first round, a 2–0 victory over Serie B side Juve Stabia.

Sassuolo's form and key stats

Sassuolo are currently in good form, coming off two straight Serie A wins, the most recent being a 0–1 victory away to Hellas Verona, with Andrea Pinamonti scoring his second goal of the season. In their last five matches, the Neroverdi have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game.

After collecting just 3 points in the first four Serie A rounds, Fabio Grosso’s men have shifted gears and now find themselves just outside the European spots with 9 points — 3 wins and 3 losses. The team from Emilia has shown solid balance, averaging 1.33 goals scored and conceded per match in the league.

Away from home, Sassuolo’s record this season includes 1 win and 3 defeats, with 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per match on average. However, the recent win away to Hellas Verona showed that Grosso’s team can also be effective and dangerous on the road, not only at the MAPEI Stadium.

Lecce vs Sassuolo Prediction by BetMines

With crucial points at stake in the fight for survival, BetMines expects a very balanced match that could be decided by an individual moment of brilliance. In this sense, Sassuolo’s hopes may hinge on the recovery of Domenico Berardi, who missed the match against Hellas due to a minor injury.

BetMines sees the visitors slightly favored for the win, given their stronger recent form, even away from home. The probability of a Sassuolo victory is 40%, while Lecce’s chances stand at 33%, highlighting how evenly matched this contest is likely to be.

The head-to-head record also tips the prediction slightly in Sassuolo’s favor: in their last five meetings, the Neroverdi have won three times, Lecce once, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter between the two sides, on September 24, 2024, ended 2–0 to Sassuolo at the Via del Mare.

As for total goals, BetMines tips the Under 3.5 market, expecting a match with no more than three goals scored overall — a prediction that aligns with the balanced nature of this fixture.

Probable lineups Lecce vs Sassuolo

LECCE (4-3-3): Falcone; Veiga, Gaspar, Gabriel, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani, Berisha; Pierotti, Stulic, Sottil. Coach: Di Francesco

SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig; Koné, Matic, Vranckx; Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté. Coach: Grosso