At the Stadio Via del Mare, in the opening match of Serie A Matchday 25, two teams with different motivations face off: Lecce, coached by Marco Giampaolo, and Udinese, led by Kosta Runjaic. The home side is desperate for crucial points in their battle for Serie A survival. They currently hold a five-point lead over 18th-placed Parma and need to bounce back quickly after missing an opportunity last weekend with a goalless draw against bottom-placed Monza. A win would provide Lecce with much-needed breathing room and allow them to approach the final stretch of the season with greater confidence. However, it won’t be an easy task as Udinese arrives in top form. The Bianconeri secured a convincing 3-0 victory against Empoli in the previous round, climbing to 10th place. With a few more positive results, they could even challenge for a top-six finish and a spot in next season’s UEFA Conference League. Just two weeks ago, Udinese proved their resilience by securing a 1-1 draw away against league leaders Napoli.

Lecce's shape and key statistics

Lecce is currently on a three-match unbeaten streak (two draws and one win), which has helped them stay above the relegation zone. However, their biggest weakness remains their lack of attacking efficiency—they have the worst offensive record in Serie A, scoring just 18 goals at an average of 0.72 per game.

At home, Lecce has struggled offensively, failing to score in their last three home matches. Their overall home record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Their last home victory was back on December 15, when they defeated Monza 2-1.

Udinese's shape and key statistics

Udinese enters this match in strong form after their dominant 3-0 win against Empoli last weekend, marking their ninth victory of the season. The Bianconeri have picked up seven points in their last three games (two wins, one draw), largely thanks to the impressive performances of Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, who has scored three goals in his last two matches.

On the road, Udinese has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. Their last away win came on December 23, a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina. Since then, they have managed two draws and one defeat in away fixtures.

Lecce vs Udinese Prediction and Tactical Overview

Given the high stakes—especially for the hosts—this match is expected to be tight and low-scoring, with a single moment of brilliance potentially deciding the outcome. Lecce, potentially welcoming back Gaspar in defense after a long injury, will rely on Krstovic and Pierotti, who have scored 7 and 4 goals, respectively, in the league.

Udinese, on the other hand, will look to exploit their key attacking weapons: crosses from the flanks aimed at Lucca, who is just one goal away from reaching double digits in the league, as well as the dribbling ability and late runs from Thauvin, Lovric, and Ekkelenkamp. Thauvin, in particular, will be confident after finding the net against Empoli last weekend.

Considering that the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams have never produced more than 2.5 goals, combined with Lecce’s current attacking struggles, the BetMines algorithm strongly favors an Under 2.5 goals outcome for this match.

• The BetMines prediction for the Lecce vs Udinese match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 60%
• The BetMines prediction for the Lecce vs Udinese match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 40%

Lecce vs Udinese Predicted Lineups

Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani, Helgason; Pierotti, Krstovic, Morente. Coach: Giampaolo

Udinese (4-4-2): Sava; Ehizibue, Bijol, Solet, Kamara; Atta, Karlstrom, Lovric, Ekkelenkamp; Thauvin, Lucca. Coach: Runjaic