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Prediction published on Nov 21, 2025 11:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Nov 21, 2025 11:02 PM
The Serie C weekend brings an intriguing clash between Lecco and Cittadella, two sides currently in excellent form and fighting for the top positions in Group A. The Lombard club sits second in the standings, eight points behind leaders Vicenza, while the visitors from Padua have climbed to fifth after a slow start. The match at the Rigamonti Ceppi Stadium, scheduled for Sunday, November 23 at 20:30, promises to be a tense and balanced affair, with both teams eager to consolidate their promotion ambitions. Despite Lecco’s home advantage, bookmakers see this as a very even contest, with little separating the two sides in terms of odds.
Lecco approach this fixture in solid form, having defeated Pro Patria 1-0 on November 16. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their season record in Serie C Group A stands at 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a testament to their consistency and defensive strength. The team has not lost at half time in their last 15 league matches, underlining their ability to stay composed early in games.
At home, Lecco have been particularly reliable, winning six of their last ten matches at the break and maintaining a strong defensive line throughout. Matches involving Lecco tend to be tight, with at least one team failing to score in 31 of their last 33 league encounters. This defensive discipline has been a key factor in their rise to second place, and they will look to maintain that solidity against a Cittadella side that has been equally impressive in recent weeks.
Cittadella come into this match on a remarkable run, having won their last five games in a row, including a 1-0 victory over Union ArzignanoChiampo on November 15. During this streak, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, showing both attacking efficiency and defensive resilience. Their overall record this season reads 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Low-scoring encounters have been a recurring theme for the Venetians: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league matches, while Under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in 26 of their last 28. Much like Lecco, they often keep things tight early on, with at least one team failing to score before the break in 31 of their last 33 fixtures. This disciplined approach has allowed Cittadella to climb back into contention for the top spots after a difficult start to the campaign.
Both teams enter this encounter in excellent defensive form, which suggests a cautious and tactical battle rather than an open, high-scoring affair. Lecco will rely on their home strength and compact structure, while Cittadella will look to extend their winning streak by maintaining their recent balance between attack and defense. The previous meeting between these sides ended 1-1 in April 2024, and another close contest seems likely.
Lecco’s ability to control the tempo at home could give them a slight edge, but Cittadella’s current momentum and confidence make them a dangerous opponent. Both sides have shown a tendency to keep matches under control, with few goals and limited chances for their opponents. Given their recent statistics, a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for either team would not be surprising.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% probability. Both teams have displayed strong defensive organization and a preference for tight matches, making a low-scoring encounter the most probable scenario at the Rigamonti Ceppi.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lecco
Cittadella
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0