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Prediction published on Apr 1, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Apr 1, 2026 8:01 PM
The upcoming Serie C: Girone A clash between Lecco and Vicenza promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides living very different moments of their season. The hosts are going through a delicate phase, struggling to find consistency, while the visitors have already secured promotion and sit comfortably at the top of the table. The match will take place on Friday evening, and although the odds favor the league leaders, the home side will be eager to prove that they can still challenge the best.
Lecco come into this fixture after a 2-1 defeat against Cittadella on March 29, a result that highlighted some of their current difficulties. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite these mixed results, their overall season record remains respectable: 16 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
At home, Lecco have shown resilience, avoiding defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games. Their matches tend to be tight, with under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 14 home fixtures. This suggests a cautious approach, especially in the first half, where at least one team failed to score in 37 of their last 40 league matches. The challenge for Lecco will be to rediscover their attacking spark and make the most of their home advantage against the strongest team in the division.
Vicenza travel to this match as the undisputed leaders of the group, having already secured promotion. They drew 1-1 against Union Brescia in their most recent outing on March 29, extending their impressive run of form. Over their last five matches, they have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record is outstanding: 25 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match.
Vicenza’s consistency has been remarkable, remaining unbeaten in their last 17 away matches and avoiding defeat in 32 of their last 34 league games. They have scored at least one goal in 30 of their last 32 matches, including each of their last 16 away fixtures. This attacking reliability, combined with a solid defense, makes them a formidable opponent even when motivation might be slightly lower due to their already confirmed promotion.
The head-to-head record between these two sides slightly favors Vicenza, who have won three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one victory for Lecco. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Vicenza on November 30, 2025. Historically, these matches have been low-scoring, with Lecco averaging 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game against their upcoming opponents.
Given the current form and motivation levels, this match could follow a familiar pattern. Lecco will likely focus on defensive organization and quick transitions, hoping to exploit any complacency from the visitors. Vicenza, on the other hand, are expected to control possession and rely on their attacking efficiency to maintain their unbeaten streak. The home crowd could play a crucial role in pushing Lecco to deliver a spirited performance, especially after recent disappointments.
According to the available probabilities, Vicenza are the favorites with a 53% chance of winning, while Lecco have a 20% chance and the draw stands at 27%. The data also suggests a tendency toward a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 goals estimated at 62% probability and Both Teams To Score – No at 57%.
Considering the defensive patterns of both teams and the fact that Lecco often struggle to score against top opposition, the most likely scenario points to a controlled game with limited scoring opportunities. However, Lecco’s determination to bounce back at home could still see them find the net once.
Lecco vs Vicenza prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lecco
Vicenza
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3