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Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 1:38 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 1:38 PM
Leeds United host Crystal Palace at Elland Road on September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. The hosts have opened their Premier League campaign with two wins and two draws, leaving them unbeaten after four matches and third in the standings. Palace sit 16th after recording one victory and three defeats. Leeds enter this fixture following an emphatic 4-1 league win over Newcastle United, while the visitors gained encouragement from a 4-0 Europa League victory against Lech Poznań. With the Whites in strong domestic form and Palace producing contrasting results across league and cup competitions, this Premier League match presents an intriguing test for both sides.
Leeds United have collected eight points from their opening four Premier League games, winning twice and drawing twice. Their league campaign began with an away victory over Nottingham Forest, followed by scoring draws against Brentford at home and Brighton away. They then produced their most convincing league performance so far, defeating Newcastle United 4-1 on September 14.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Leeds have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game. Their only loss of the season came in the Carabao Cup, where Chelsea won 6-3. In the Premier League alone, the Whites are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Home results have also been positive. Leeds have earned four points from their league fixtures at Elland Road, drawing with Brentford before overcoming Newcastle. Last season’s corresponding home meeting with Palace ended in a 4-1 Leeds victory, although the most recent head-to-head contest finished 0-0 on March 15, 2026.
Leeds will be without Joe Rodon and Mateo Joseph. Ilia Gruev has also been absent, although he played in midweek for Bulgaria’s under-21 side. His return to the Leeds squad may come soon, but the source information indicates that this match could be too early.
Crystal Palace have experienced a difficult beginning to their Premier League campaign. Their only league success was a 3-2 away victory over Fulham, while their other three fixtures ended in defeats against Everton, Manchester City and Ipswich Town. Their league record therefore stands at one win and three losses, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match.
The Eagles have enjoyed better results in cup competition. They have beaten Middlesbrough and Lech Poznań, with the latter victory arriving by a 4-0 scoreline on September 17. Their overall numbers across the latest five games show three wins and two defeats, alongside averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Those figures underline the difference between their cup success and their more vulnerable Premier League displays.
Defensive improvement is particularly important for Palace after conceding 11 goals across their opening four league matches. The visitors have allowed at least two goals in each of their last 10 Premier League games, while they have conceded at least once in 12 consecutive away fixtures. There have also been more than 1.5 total goals in each of their last 12 matches on the road.
Pierre Sage currently has three regular players unavailable, including striker Jean-Philippe Mateta. Dean Henderson has missed matches but may now be fit, while Axel Disasi is suspended following his red card against Ipswich Town. Several changes were made for the Europa League victory, and players rested for that match are expected to return.
The league records give Leeds United the stronger platform heading into this match. The Whites remain unbeaten, have already earned four points at home and arrive after putting four goals past Newcastle. Their 45% win probability is higher than the 29% assigned to Palace, with the draw rated at 26%.
However, the available statistics also suggest that Palace can contribute to an open contest. Both teams scored in three of Leeds’ opening four league fixtures, while the same outcome occurred in three of Palace’s first four Premier League games. It has also landed in three of the last four meetings between the clubs, despite their latest encounter ending without a goal.
Second-half scoring is another recurring feature. Leeds have seen a goal after the break in 11 straight Premier League matches, while Palace have done so in their last 10 league games and 15 consecutive fixtures overall. Palace’s run of conceding at least two goals in 10 successive Premier League matches gives the hosts a clear attacking opportunity, but Leeds’ recent tendency to allow opponents onto the scoresheet keeps the visitors involved.
The head-to-head summary from a Leeds perspective stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Although the last meeting produced a 0-0 draw, the broader recent scoring patterns point toward chances at both ends. Leeds carry the better Premier League momentum, while Palace travel after a confidence-boosting European win and will look to transfer that attacking output into domestic competition.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leeds United
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3