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Leeds United vs Manchester United Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 04-01-2026

Leeds United

1 - 1

FT

Manchester United

Elland Road
J. Gillett
sky is clear 2.73 °C

Prediction published on Jan 2, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 2, 2026 3:03 PM

The Premier League weekend brings another classic rivalry as Leeds United host Manchester United at Elland Road. The Whites are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while the Red Devils aim to strengthen their top-six position. Leeds come into this clash unbeaten in six league matches, sitting 16th in the table, whereas Manchester United occupy sixth place. With both sides showing contrasting forms but plenty of attacking intent, this fixture promises excitement and goals.


Leeds United’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Leeds United have shown resilience in recent weeks, extending their unbeaten run to six matches after a goalless draw against Liverpool on New Year’s Day. That result underlined their defensive improvement and fighting spirit. Over their last five matches, Leeds have recorded one win and four draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their season record stands at five wins, six draws, and eight defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.


Elland Road has been a source of strength for the Whites. They have not lost at half time in their last 15 home matches and have led at the break in nine of their last 14. In front of their fans, Leeds have collected 15 of their 21 points this season, winning twice and drawing once in their last three home games. They have scored 13 goals in their last five home fixtures, though keeping clean sheets remains a challenge, with none in their last seven at home.


Injuries and suspensions have slightly disrupted their rhythm. Dan James and Joe Rodon are unavailable, while Ethan Ampadu is suspended. Sebastiaan Bornauw remains a doubt, but Brenden Aaronson could be key in attack, having scored seven of his last eight goals at home. Leeds will rely on their attacking energy and home momentum to challenge their rivals.


Manchester United’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Manchester United arrive at Elland Road after a 1-1 draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. The Red Devils have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during that period. Over the season, they have eight wins, six draws, and five losses, scoring 1.7 goals per game while conceding 1.5.


Defensively, United have struggled away from home. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 away league matches, and every one of their last nine away games has produced over 2.5 total goals. Moreover, there has been at least one goal in the second half of each of their last 13 away fixtures. These trends suggest that their matches tend to be open and entertaining, often featuring goals at both ends.


Injuries and absences continue to affect the visitors. Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount, and Kobbie Mainoo are doubtful, while Toby Collyer and Matthijs de Ligt are ruled out. Several players are also away on international duty. Fernandes’ absence, in particular, could impact their creativity and leadership in midfield. Despite these setbacks, Manchester United will look to extend their strong record at Elland Road, having won on their last two visits.


Leeds United vs Manchester United Analysis and Prediction


This fixture has historically been intense, and Sunday’s clash should be no different. Leeds United’s attacking form at home, combined with Manchester United’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road, points toward a high-scoring encounter. The Whites have been difficult to beat recently, while the Red Devils have shown inconsistency but remain dangerous in attack.


Leeds will aim to exploit their home advantage and end a seven-match winless run against Manchester United. The visitors, meanwhile, will seek to rediscover their winning touch after dropping 12 points from winning positions this season. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede, which could make for an open contest with chances at both ends.


Given the recent trends and statistical indicators, this match is likely to feature goals from both teams. Leeds’ attacking confidence at home and Manchester United’s habit of conceding away suggest that neither defense will keep a clean sheet. The combination of attacking flair and defensive fragility on both sides makes this a fixture where entertainment is almost guaranteed.


Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.

Leeds United vs Manchester United - Predictions

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Leeds United vs Manchester United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Leeds United

Manchester United

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Leeds United and Manchester United in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Manchester United

38

20

11

7

69:50

71

1.87

W
W
D
W
W
14

Leeds United

38

11

14

13

49:56

47

1.24

D
W
D
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Leeds United vs Manchester United be played?
The Premier League match between Leeds United and Manchester United will be played on January 4, 2026 at 12:30.
Where will Leeds United vs Manchester United be played?
The match between Leeds United and Manchester United will be played at Elland Road, Leeds - England
Who will referee Leeds United vs Manchester United?
The referee for the match will be J. Gillett.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Leeds United vs Manchester United in the Premier League?
The odds are: Leeds United to win 2.75, draw 3.10, Manchester United to win 2.62.
What are the betting odds for Leeds United vs Manchester United for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Under 2.5 at 1.80.
Will both Leeds United and Manchester United score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Leeds United vs Manchester United in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Leeds United and Manchester United?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Leeds United and Manchester United, Leeds United won 0 times, Manchester United won 3, and 2 ended in a draw.

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