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Leeds United
1:00 PM
October 18, 2026
Manchester United
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 2:04 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 2:04 PM
Leeds United host Manchester United at Elland Road on October 18 in a Premier League meeting between sides separated by three points. Leeds are seventh after six league games, while the visitors are 13th. Both teams arrive looking for a response: Leeds suffered their first league defeat of the season at Arsenal in their most recent match, and Manchester United lost away to Atlético de Madrid in midweek. Their league records suggest a contest in which neither side can take a result for granted, with Leeds having won two of six matches and Manchester United just one.
Leeds United lost 2-1 at Arsenal on October 10, ending their unbeaten start to the Premier League season. That defeat followed a 0-0 home draw with Crystal Palace, leaving Leeds without a win in their last two league fixtures. Even so, their overall league record of two wins, three draws and one defeat keeps them above their visitors ahead of this match.
Elland Road has brought mixed results so far. Leeds have won one of their three home league games, beating Newcastle United 4-1, while their other two ended in draws: 1-1 against Brentford and 0-0 against Crystal Palace. Those results show that Leeds have avoided defeat at home in the league, although they have not yet turned every home opportunity into three points. Across their six Premier League matches, they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Leeds' last five matches across the supplied form record have produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their broader recent results have therefore been less steady than their league record alone suggests. Both teams have scored in four of Leeds' last five league games, another relevant detail before a fixture against opponents who have scored and conceded at the same rate in the league this season.
There are also personnel questions for the hosts. Daniel James is doubtful because of a back problem, while Mateo Joseph and Joe Rodon are not yet fit enough to train. Harry Wilson and Jean-Matteo Bahoy have returned to training and could be involved in the squad.
Manchester United travel to Leeds after a 2-0 defeat at Atlético de Madrid on October 13. Their last five matches in the supplied form record include no wins, two draws and three defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The Premier League picture has also been difficult: Michael Carrick's side have recorded one win, three draws and two defeats in six games.
Their only league victory came at home against Ipswich Town. Away from home, Manchester United have taken two points from three league fixtures, most recently drawing 1-1 at Fulham. Both sides have scored in two of those three away league matches. Manchester United have nine league goals and have conceded nine, equivalent to averages of 1.5 scored and 1.5 allowed per game.
Bruno Fernandes has scored three league goals, all of them in the win over Ipswich Town. Lisando Martinez is available for the trip despite his recent comments about the club. Luke Shaw and Kobbie Mainoo missed the midweek match and remain doubtful for this fixture. Manchester United have also seen at least one second-half goal in 26 of their last 29 matches, though that statistic covers total match goals rather than goals scored by the visitors alone.
Leeds have the stronger Premier League record entering this match and have not lost any of their three home league games. Manchester United, however, are only three points behind them, so the table gap does not settle the question of how close the contest might be. Leeds will be aiming to recover from the Arsenal defeat, while the visitors are seeking their first away league win of the season after two draws and a defeat on the road.
The recent meetings offer another point of comparison. The last head-to-head ended 1-1 on August 12, 2026, and both teams scored in each of the last three matches between the clubs. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied head-to-head summary, Leeds have one win, three draws and one defeat. That is an evenly balanced record, rather than a clear advantage for either team.
Goals at both ends remain a plausible feature of this Premier League match preview. Four of Leeds' last five league games have seen both sides score, while Manchester United's away league record includes two such matches in three. Leeds have kept their league concession average to 0.8 per game, but Manchester United have scored nine times in six league fixtures; at the other end, Leeds face visitors who have also conceded nine. Those figures point to opportunities for both teams without making the result itself straightforward to call.
Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leeds United
Manchester United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3