The FA Cup fifth round concludes on Sunday with an intriguing clash at Elland Road, where Leeds United will host Norwich City. Both sides enter this encounter with contrasting league campaigns but share the same ambition of advancing to the quarter-finals. Leeds, currently battling in the Premier League, will look to make home advantage count, while Norwich, flying high in the Championship, aim to continue their impressive cup run. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this fixture promises to deliver a competitive and entertaining contest.

Leeds United’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Leeds United approach this FA Cup tie hoping to rediscover their winning touch after a difficult run of results. The Whites suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to Sunderland on March 3, extending their winless streak to five matches across all competitions. During this period, they have recorded three draws and two losses, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite these struggles, Leeds have shown resilience in the FA Cup, where they remain unbeaten this season with one win and one draw, scoring an average of two goals per match.

Defensively, Leeds have been inconsistent, conceding at least one goal in 26 of their last 28 matches. However, they tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 12 FA Cup fixtures. Their home form has been mixed, losing three of their last four games at Elland Road, but they have a strong record against Norwich, winning each of their last four home meetings and keeping clean sheets in the last three.

• Leeds United’s FA Cup record this season: W 1 · D 1 · L 0.


• Average goals scored: 2.0 · Average conceded: 1.0.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 24 of their last 26 matches.


• Head-to-head vs Norwich City: W 3 · D 2 · L 0 (last meeting 2-0 on 2025-01-22).

While Leeds have struggled to find consistency, their historical dominance over Norwich at Elland Road could provide a psychological edge. The home crowd will expect a reaction, especially with a place in the quarter-finals at stake.

Norwich City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Norwich City arrive in Yorkshire full of confidence after a strong run of form. The Canaries defeated Leicester City 2-0 on February 28, marking their eighth win in the last ten matches. During this impressive spell, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. In the FA Cup, Norwich have been particularly prolific, winning both of their matches so far — 5-1 against Walsall and 3-1 versus West Bromwich Albion — averaging four goals per game in the competition.

On the road, Norwich have been equally impressive, winning five of their last six away fixtures and keeping clean sheets in three of them. This marks a remarkable turnaround after a ten-match winless streak earlier in the season. However, one area of concern is their tendency to start slowly in FA Cup away games, having trailed at half-time in each of their last three such fixtures.

• Norwich City’s FA Cup record this season: W 2 · D 0 · L 0.


• Average goals scored: 4.0 · Average conceded: 1.0.


• Haven’t drawn in their last 15 matches.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 36 of their last 40 matches.

Key contributors have emerged for Norwich in recent weeks. Anis Ben Slimane has been a standout performer, leading the FA Cup assist charts with four and adding five goals in his last nine league appearances. Paris Maghoma has also impressed in the attacking midfield role, scoring twice in his first five outings for the club. Despite a lengthy injury list, Norwich’s attacking depth and momentum make them a dangerous opponent for any side.

Leeds United vs Norwich City Analysis and Prediction

This FA Cup encounter brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Leeds United are struggling for form but remain difficult to beat at home in this competition, while Norwich City are enjoying a purple patch, particularly in front of goal. The historical head-to-head record favors Leeds, who have not lost to Norwich in their last five meetings, conceding only once in that span. However, Norwich’s recent attacking efficiency and improved defensive solidity suggest they will pose a serious challenge.

Both teams have shown a tendency for second-half goals, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in the vast majority of their recent matches. Leeds’ defensive lapses could be exploited by Norwich’s dynamic forward line, but the hosts’ experience against Championship opposition may help them stay competitive. Given the balance between Leeds’ home advantage and Norwich’s current momentum, a tight and tactical battle is expected at Elland Road.

Statistically, the match leans toward a low-to-moderate scoring affair. Leeds have failed to score in three of their last four home games, while Norwich have kept three clean sheets in their last four away fixtures. Moreover, only one team has scored in four of the last five meetings between these sides, reinforcing the likelihood of a cautious and disciplined contest.

Leeds United vs Norwich City prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.