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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 8:02 PM
The upcoming LaLiga 2 clash between CD Leganés and Almería promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Both sides are considered strong contenders for promotion, and their recent form suggests a competitive and balanced encounter at the Estadio de Butarque. While Leganés are looking to build on their recent win to climb further up the table, Almería arrive in excellent shape, having turned their early-season struggles into a remarkable run of form that has propelled them close to the top of the standings.
Leganés come into this match after a much-needed 1-2 away victory over Ceuta on November 16, which ended a short run of two consecutive defeats. That result restored confidence in the squad and allowed them to maintain a mid-table position, currently sitting 12th in LaLiga 2. Over their last five matches, Leganés have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their overall season record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
Defensively, the team has shown consistency, as Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league fixtures. However, their attacking output has been somewhat inconsistent, with Under 0.5 goals appearing in three of their last 11 matches. Playing at home, Leganés will rely heavily on their compact defensive structure and the energy of their supporters to contain one of the most in-form teams in the division.
Historically, Leganés have been a tough opponent for Almería at Butarque. In their last five head-to-head meetings, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4. These numbers underline their ability to compete effectively against top-tier opposition, especially on home soil.
After a slow start to the campaign, Almería have found their rhythm and are now one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In their last eight matches, they have collected six wins and two draws, a run that has lifted them to 5th place in the standings, just one point behind the leaders. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 home victory over Cádiz on November 16, further extending their unbeaten streak.
Statistically, Almería’s attacking power has been impressive. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches in all competitions, including 16 consecutive league games. Over their last five fixtures, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, showing both offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. Their season record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses reflects a team that has adapted well to the demands of LaLiga 2 after a challenging start.
Another key strength for Almería has been their ability to start games strongly. They have won at half-time in their last three matches and have avoided defeat before the break in 22 of their last 24 games. This early dominance often allows them to control the tempo and manage matches effectively, especially when playing away from home.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting styles but similar ambitions. Leganés tend to rely on a structured defensive setup and quick transitions, while Almería prefer a more proactive approach, pressing high and creating chances through fluid attacking movements. The visitors’ recent form suggests they will enter the match with confidence, but Butarque remains a difficult venue where Leganés have historically performed well.
Given the current dynamics, the match could be decided by small details. Leganés will aim to frustrate Almería’s attack and exploit set pieces or counterattacks, while the visitors will look to maintain their scoring streak and capitalize on their superior momentum. The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-3 victory for Almería in January 2025, a result that underlines their attacking potential but also highlights the defensive risks they sometimes take.
Both teams are expected to approach this encounter with caution, aware of each other’s strengths. While Almería’s recent performances make them slight favorites, Leganés’ resilience at home could make this a tightly contested affair with limited scoring opportunities.
The most likely outcome is an Almería win (2) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while a Leganés win (1) stands at 30%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leganés
Almería
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4