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Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 7:11 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 7:11 PM
Leganés and Granada bring the sixth round of the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season to a close on September 20, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque. The two teams enter this fixture with identical league records of two wins, two draws and one defeat, although Leganés sit seventh while Granada are tenth. The hosts are looking to respond after suffering their first loss of the campaign, a 2-0 defeat against Tenerife on September 13. Granada also failed to win their latest match, drawing 1-1 with Albacete on September 12, and have now gone two league games without a victory. With both clubs aiming to compete near the upper end of the division, this meeting offers an early opportunity to build momentum and move ahead of a direct rival.
Leganés had made an unbeaten start before their trip to Tenerife ended in a 2-0 loss. That result left their record after five league fixtures at two wins, two draws and one defeat. Across the same period, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per match, but they have also conceded at an identical rate of 0.6. Those figures point to a team whose opening matches have generally been decided by narrow margins.
The hosts have collected two victories from their last five matches, alongside two draws and one defeat. Their defensive numbers remain encouraging despite the latest setback, while their scoring average shows why creating a clear advantage can be difficult. A controlled response will therefore be important after going scoreless against Tenerife.
The first-half trend is particularly notable. Leganés have not been ahead at the interval in 21 of their last 22 La Liga 2 fixtures, suggesting that their matches frequently require patience before a decisive pattern develops. Four of their last 20 league games have also ended without a goal, adding another low-scoring element to the home side’s recent statistical profile.
Granada travel to Leganés after being held to a 1-1 draw by Albacete. That result extended their winless league sequence to two matches following what had been described as a positive beginning to the season. Like their hosts, Granada have registered two wins, two draws and one loss from their opening five fixtures.
The visitors have produced more goals than Leganés so far, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their defensive average is also higher, with 1.0 goal conceded per game. Their last-five-match record is nevertheless perfectly balanced with that of the hosts: two victories, two draws and one defeat. Granada’s challenge will be to turn their greater scoring output into a positive result against an opponent that has conceded sparingly.
Although the teams share the same results record, their scoring profiles differ. Granada average twice as many goals as Leganés, but the hosts have conceded fewer. This contrast creates a clear focal point for the contest: Granada will attempt to make their stronger attacking return count, while Leganés will seek to restore the defensive stability shown across the opening weeks.
The available statistics indicate a competitive fixture in which the margins may remain limited. The probability figures give Leganés a 49% chance of victory, compared with 27% for the draw and 24% for a Granada win. That makes the home side the most likely individual winner, but the draw percentage is substantial enough to keep a cautious outcome firmly in consideration.
Recent head-to-head results also favor Leganés. The latest meeting ended in a 1-0 win on February 6, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Leganés have three wins, one draw and one defeat against Granada, averaging 0.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. This record supports the hosts, while also reinforcing the expectation of a match without a wide winning margin.
The goals markets reflect that same sense of restraint. Under 2.5 goals carries a 55% probability, compared with 45% for over 2.5, while Both Teams To Score is almost evenly divided between No at 51% and Yes at 49%. Leganés’ average of 0.6 goals at both ends, their sequence of 10 league matches under 3.5 goals and the 1-0 scoreline in the latest direct meeting all contribute to a cautious outlook.
First-half expectations require some balance. Leganés have seen under 1.5 goals before the break in 13 consecutive La Liga 2 matches and have rarely held a half-time lead, yet the supplied probability for over 0.5 first-half goals is 67%. The opening phase could therefore contain one goal without necessarily developing into an expansive contest.
Overall, Leganés have the statistical edge through the home-win probability, their stronger ranking and their favorable head-to-head record. Granada’s higher scoring average means the visitors cannot be dismissed, particularly when both sides have exactly the same season form. However, combining a Leganés victory with the draw as cover provides the conclusion most consistent with the broader evidence.
Leganés vs Granada prediction from BetMines: Leganés or Draw (1X) with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leganés
Granada
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3