The Championship continues with an intriguing clash as Leicester City host Derby County in the 24th round. Both sides are chasing a place in the top six, and this encounter could prove decisive in shaping their promotion ambitions. Leicester sit 14th in the table, three points behind Derby, and will be eager to make home advantage count after a mixed run of results. The Rams, meanwhile, arrive with a slightly better record but have also struggled to turn draws into wins in recent weeks.

Leicester City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Leicester City have endured an inconsistent campaign so far, collecting 31 points from 23 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats reflects a team still searching for stability. The Foxes’ latest outing ended in a 1-2 home defeat to Watford, a result that underlined their defensive fragility. In fact, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 Championship matches, a worrying trend for a side with promotion aspirations.

Despite their struggles, Leicester remain a dangerous attacking unit. They average 1.4 goals scored per game and have seen Over 2.5 goals in each of their last nine league fixtures. Their matches are rarely dull, with goals often coming early — Over 0.5 goals at half time has been recorded in 18 of their last 20 games. At home, they tend to start strongly, having led at the break in six of their last ten Championship fixtures at the King Power Stadium.

• Leicester City’s last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 2.0 per match; conceded: 2.0 per match.


• Over 1.5 goals in the last 11 Championship matches.


• Unbeaten in the last three head-to-head meetings with Derby County (3 wins, 2 draws).

While their defensive record remains a concern, Leicester’s attacking rhythm and ability to score consistently keep them in contention. A win here would bring them closer to the playoff zone and restore confidence after recent setbacks.

Derby County’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Derby County have been slightly more consistent than their hosts, sitting 11th with 32 points from 23 matches. Their season record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses mirrors Leicester’s in many ways, but the Rams have shown resilience in tight contests. They drew 1-1 against Birmingham City in their most recent outing, extending their run to two games without a win. However, they have lost just once in their last six matches, four of which ended in draws — a sign of their defensive discipline but also their struggle to convert chances into victories.

Derby’s attacking output has been steady, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while conceding 1.4 on average. They have scored in each of their last 13 Championship matches, showing a consistent ability to find the net. Away from home, they have been particularly strong starters, winning at half time in each of their last six away fixtures. Moreover, Over 0.5 goals in the second half has occurred in 19 of their last 20 away games, suggesting that their matches often open up after the break.

• Derby County’s last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat.


• Over 1.5 goals in the last 11 Championship matches.


• At least one goal scored in each of their last 13 league games.


• Won at half time in 9 of their last 12 Championship matches.

Although Derby’s recent form has been solid, their inability to secure wins has slowed their climb up the table. They will be motivated by the chance to avenge their 1-3 home defeat to Leicester earlier in December, but history is not on their side — the Rams have not beaten the Foxes since March 2013.

Leicester City vs Derby County Analysis and Prediction

This East Midlands derby promises to be a competitive and high-energy affair. Both teams have shown attacking intent throughout the season, and their recent statistics point toward another open contest. Leicester’s home matches have been full of goals, while Derby’s away fixtures often feature strong first-half performances and late drama. Given that both sides average the same number of goals scored and conceded per game, a balanced encounter seems likely.

Leicester’s attacking power at home could be offset by Derby’s resilience and ability to score in nearly every match. The Foxes’ defensive lapses, combined with Derby’s tendency to draw, make a stalemate a realistic outcome. Historically, two of the last three meetings between these sides have ended level, and both teams have reasons to approach this match cautiously given their proximity in the standings.

With BTTS – Yes occurring frequently in both teams’ recent games and Over 2.5 goals hitting in most of Leicester’s fixtures, fans can expect an entertaining clash. However, the balance of strengths and weaknesses suggests that neither side will dominate completely.

Leicester City vs Derby County prediction by BetMines:
Draw (X) with a probability of 25%.