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Leixões
6:00 PM
November 15, 2026
Chaves
Prediction published on Nov 13, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Nov 13, 2026 6:05 PM
Leixões host Chaves at the Estádio do Mar in Matosinhos on Sunday, November 15, with kick-off at 18:00 local time. This 11th-round Liga Portugal 2 match brings together two sides seeking a response to recent defeats. Leixões are 12th after a five-match winless run, while 17th-placed Chaves arrive having lost their last two games. Both teams have conceded regularly, making their defensive records a central part of this Leixões vs Chaves preview.
Leixões made a promising start with three wins in their first four league rounds, but their results have since turned sharply. A 2-1 derby defeat to FC Porto preceded a run of four consecutive losses, which included an early Portuguese Cup exit against SC Vianense. Their most recent outing at least ended that losing sequence: Leixões drew 3-3 away to Felgueiras 1932 on November 7.
The wider five-match record remains a concern for the home side: no wins, one draw and four defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Across ten Liga Portugal 2 fixtures, Leixões have three wins, two draws and five losses. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, and their 17 goals against leave them with the competition’s third-most-conceding defence. Carlos Fangueiro remains in charge, but the contrast between the early results and the recent run makes this home fixture an important opportunity to recover momentum.
There are grounds for Leixões to draw confidence from their attacking record at home. They have scored at least once in each of their last 12 home Liga Portugal 2 matches. Those same 12 fixtures have all featured at least one goal after half-time, and both teams scored in the second half of Leixões’ last four home league matches. The 3-3 draw at Felgueiras offered another example of their ability to score, although conceding three times underlined the problem they still need to address. Leixões have also been behind at half-time in each of their last three league games.
Chaves travel to Matosinhos in 17th place with eight points. A late victory over Vizela did not lead to a sustained improvement: defeats to Benfica B, by 3-1, and Penafiel, by 3-2, followed. The loss to Penafiel came on November 7. Across their last five matches, Chaves have two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 1.8.
Their season figures show why defensive reliability is such a pressing issue. Chaves have two wins, two draws and six defeats in Liga Portugal 2, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. They have scored in recent defeats against Benfica B and Penafiel, but those goals were not enough to offset what they allowed at the other end. Away results have been particularly difficult: Chaves have collected just one point from their five away games.
Several longer-running trends point to matches that remain active after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Chaves’ last 26 matches, including their last 24 in Liga Portugal 2. The same is true of their last 13 away matches and last 12 away league matches. These figures describe total match goals, rather than goals scored by Chaves alone. Draws have also been uncommon in their results: Chaves have not drawn 25 of their last 27 matches, or 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Separately, fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 27 of their last 29 league games.
The contrast between Leixões’ home scoring streak and both clubs’ goals-against averages gives this fixture its clearest theme. Leixões have found the net in 12 straight home league matches, yet have conceded 2.4 goals per game over their latest five outings. Chaves have averaged 1.6 goals scored in their last five, but their season average of 2.1 conceded leaves them vulnerable too. Each side therefore has evidence of attacking output alongside defensive difficulties.
Leixões’ latest 3-3 draw and Chaves’ 2-3 defeat both featured goals for each team, though neither result alone settles what will happen at the Estádio do Mar. Their recent head-to-head record is balanced at one win apiece and three draws across five meetings, with both teams averaging 0.6 goals scored per meeting. The most recent encounter finished 1-2 on May 9, 2026. That history offers a counterpoint to the more open recent scorelines, rather than a clear advantage for either side.
For this Liga Portugal 2 meeting, the strongest case is not based on choosing a winner. Leixões’ long home scoring run, Chaves’ recent ability to score and the goals both sides have been conceding make a goal at each end a coherent possibility. The repeated second-half goal trends add another reason to keep watching beyond the break, particularly in a match where both teams are seeking a better result.
Leixões vs Chaves prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leixões
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2