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Lens vs Auxerre Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 17-01-2026

Lens

1 - 0

FT

Auxerre

Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Bastien Dechepy
light rain 9.03 °C

Prediction published on Jan 15, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Jan 15, 2026 5:02 PM

The 18th round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash between two teams at opposite ends of the table. On Saturday afternoon, RC Lens welcome AJ Auxerre to the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The hosts are enjoying a remarkable campaign, sitting at the top of the standings and showing no signs of slowing down. Their recent form has been nothing short of dominant, with a string of victories that underline their ambitions for the title. Meanwhile, Auxerre travel north in a difficult situation, fighting to escape the relegation zone and looking for a spark to turn their season around.


RC Lens: unstoppable momentum at the top


Lens have been in sensational form throughout the season. According to the latest statistics, they have recorded 13 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in Ligue 1, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their recent run is even more impressive: nine consecutive victories in all competitions, including a commanding 0-3 win over Sochaux on January 11, 2026. The team’s consistency has been built on a solid defensive structure and an attack capable of striking at any moment.


At home, the numbers speak for themselves. Lens have won their last eight home matches and have not drawn in their last 18 Ligue 1 fixtures at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. They have also managed to avoid trailing at half time in their last 13 league games. This combination of early control and second-half strength has made them one of the most reliable teams in France. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 11 Ligue 1 matches, showing their ability to maintain intensity until the final whistle.


Offensively, Lens continue to rely on their key forwards, who have been decisive in recent weeks. The team’s balance between attack and defense has allowed them to dominate opponents such as Monaco, Strasbourg and Nice during their winning streak. With the best defensive record in the league and a confident attacking unit, the leaders will aim to extend their advantage at the top of the table.


AJ Auxerre: fighting to survive


For Auxerre, the situation is far more complicated. The visitors currently sit 17th in Ligue 1, four points behind safety, and have struggled to find consistency. Their season record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The team’s recent form reflects their difficulties: only one win in the last five matches, alongside one draw and three losses. Their latest outing ended in a 2-0 defeat to Brest on January 4, 2026.


Auxerre’s away performances have been particularly concerning. They have scored just four goals in eight away matches this season, a figure that highlights their offensive struggles on the road. Despite these challenges, there are some positive signs. The return of key players from international duty could provide a boost, and the team will hope to rediscover the fighting spirit that earned them promotion to the top flight. However, facing the league leaders away from home is one of the toughest tasks they could face at this stage of the campaign.


In their last five head-to-head meetings with Lens, Auxerre have managed one win, one draw and three defeats, with both sides averaging 1.6 goals per game in those encounters. The most recent clash ended 1-2 in October 2025, a result that Lens will look to repeat in front of their supporters.


Lens vs Auxerre: analysis and outlook


This match appears to be a classic battle between a confident leader and a struggling underdog. Lens approach the fixture with momentum, discipline and a clear objective: to strengthen their position at the top of Ligue 1. Their ability to control games from start to finish, combined with their defensive solidity, makes them heavy favourites. Auxerre, on the other hand, must find a way to resist the relentless pressure of a team that has not dropped points in weeks.


Given the statistics, a high-scoring game seems unlikely. Lens have built their success on compact defending and efficient finishing, while Auxerre’s attack has been inconsistent. The visitors will likely focus on containment, hoping to frustrate their hosts and exploit rare counter-attacking opportunities. However, the gulf in form and confidence between the two sides suggests that Lens should be able to impose their rhythm and secure another victory.


Key stats before kick-off



  • Lens are 1st in Ligue 1; Auxerre are 17th.

  • Lens have won their last 9 matches in all competitions.

  • Lens have won their last 8 home matches.

  • Lens have not drawn in 36 of their last 38 matches.

  • Auxerre have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

  • Average goals per match — Lens: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded.

  • Average goals per match — Auxerre: 0.8 scored, 1.6 conceded.

  • Last head-to-head: Lens 2–1 Auxerre (October 2025).


BetMines prediction: Lens vs Auxerre


Based on the current data and form of both teams, the BetMines prediction points towards a Lens win (1) with a probability of 64%. The draw (X) stands at 20%, while an Auxerre win (2) is estimated at 16%. Given the attacking efficiency of the hosts and the defensive issues of the visitors, a home victory appears the most likely outcome.

Lens vs Auxerre - Predictions

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Lens vs Auxerre: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Lens

Auxerre

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Lens and Auxerre in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

2

Lens

34

22

4

8

66:35

70

2.06

D
D
W
L
W
15

Auxerre

34

8

10

16

34:44

34

1

D
L
W
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Lens vs Auxerre: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Lens vs Auxerre be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Lens and Auxerre will be played on January 17, 2026 at 16:00.
Where will Lens vs Auxerre be played?
The match between Lens and Auxerre will be played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens - France
Who will referee Lens vs Auxerre?
The referee for the match will be Bastien Dechepy.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Lens vs Auxerre in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Lens to win 1.42, draw 4.50, Auxerre to win 7.50.
What are the betting odds for Lens vs Auxerre for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Lens and Auxerre score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Lens vs Auxerre in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Lens and Auxerre?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lens and Auxerre, Lens won 3 times, Auxerre won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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