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Prediction published on Nov 3, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 3, 2026 1:03 AM
Lens host Como at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on November 4 as the Champions League league phase reaches matchday four. Both teams have reasons to push for three points: Lens are trying to halt a run of two straight defeats in the competition, while debutants Como are seeking their first Champions League away win. Their results so far offer a contrast. Lens won their opener but have since slipped to two losses; Como have taken two wins from three games and arrive on a five-match winning streak across all competitions. With both sides conceding regularly in Europe, this Lens vs Como preview points to opportunities at either end.
Lens began their Champions League campaign with a 3-2 away victory over Slavia Prague, but have not added to those three points. A 2-0 home defeat to Sporting was followed by a 3-0 loss at Club Brugge, leaving the hosts with one win and two defeats after three league-phase matches. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.3 conceded per Champions League game. Scoring again would be a welcome step after failing to find the net in either of their last two European fixtures.
Their latest result in all competitions was a 1-0 defeat to LOSC Lille on October 30. Across their last five matches, Lens have won twice and lost three times, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. They have now conceded at least once in 13 consecutive matches. That run makes their defensive record an important part of the pre-match picture, particularly against visitors who have scored freely in their first three Champions League outings.
Home form presents a mixed picture. Lens have not drawn any of their last 19 home matches, and their record when hosting Italian sides in Europe stands at four wins and two defeats from six games. However, their most recent Champions League home fixture ended in defeat to Sporting. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of Lens' last 14 home matches, although that statistic concerns total goals in those games, not solely goals scored by the hosts.
Florian Thauvin, who scored in the victory at Slavia Prague, has been a prominent attacking outlet in Europe. Franjo Ivanovic is set to lead the attack in the absence of Odsonne Edouard, who is out until 2027 following surgery for an adductor injury. Lens are also missing defenders Ismael Ganiou and Malik Nawrocki. Their absence adds to the challenge of containing a Como side that has scored 10 Champions League goals.
Como have made a productive start to their first Champions League campaign, winning two of their opening three matches. They are ninth in the competition ranking supplied for this fixture, while Lens are 27th. Como have averaged 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per European game, scoring first in all three while also conceding in each. Their attacking output has helped them establish a strong position, but those goals against show why a clean sheet cannot be taken for granted.
Their latest Champions League trip ended in a 3-2 defeat to Feyenoord. It remains Como's most recent loss: they have since put together five consecutive wins, including a 4-1 home victory over Manchester United. Most recently, they beat Venezia 1-0 on November 1. That result was only their third clean sheet in 13 matches this season, despite their strong winning form. Over their last five games, Como have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, giving them an encouraging recent record to take into this away fixture.
Nico Paz has been directly involved in five of Como's 10 Champions League goals, with two goals and three assists. Tasos Douvikas has scored in each of their three league-phase matches. That consistent contribution gives the visitors several reasons to feel confident in attack, especially against opponents who have conceded in 13 straight games. The outstanding question for Como is whether they can turn that attacking form into their first away victory in the competition.
This meeting brings together a Lens side seeking a response and a Como side whose confidence is supported by results. Lens have the home advantage and a positive record from their six home games against Italian opposition, but consecutive Champions League defeats have left them needing to recover quickly. Como, meanwhile, have scored first in every European match they have played, yet have also allowed their opponents a goal in every one. Those patterns make the balance between the visitors' attacking strength and the hosts' chances in front of goal central to the contest.
Recent figures reinforce that possibility. Lens have conceded in 13 straight matches, while Como have produced 10 goals in three Champions League fixtures. At the other end, the visitors have conceded five in those three games, and Lens have already shown they can score multiple times in Europe with their three-goal display at Slavia Prague. The supplied match statistics put both teams to score at 64%. For Lens, the priority is to end their two-game European scoring drought; for Como, it is to maintain their attacking output while improving on their latest Champions League away result.
Lens vs Como prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lens
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3