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Prediction published on Dec 12, 2025 5:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Dec 12, 2025 5:01 PM
The 16th round of Ligue 1 features an exciting clash between RC Lens and OGC Nice, scheduled for Sunday at 17:15. The encounter at Bollaert-Delelis promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend, as the league leaders host a struggling side desperate to stop their losing streak. Lens have been in superb form, while Nice are enduring a difficult spell both domestically and in Europe. The contrast in momentum between the two teams could make this fixture decisive before the winter break.
RC Lens enter this match as the current leaders of Ligue 1, showing remarkable consistency since the start of the season. According to the latest statistics, they have recorded five consecutive victories, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.6 during that run. Their overall league record stands at 11 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Such numbers underline their balance between attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
At home, Lens have been particularly dominant. They have not drawn any of their last 20 home matches in Ligue 1, turning Bollaert-Delelis into a fortress. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home league games, showing their ability to maintain intensity throughout the match. The team’s recent 1-2 victory away at Nantes further boosted their confidence, extending their winning streak and consolidating their position at the top of the table.
Defensively, Lens have conceded only 13 goals this season, one of the best records in the league. Their goalkeeper and backline have been reliable, and the return of Adrien Thomasson from suspension adds creativity and energy in midfield. In attack, Florian Thauvin and Odsonne Édouard have been in excellent form, with Thauvin scoring three goals in the last two league games. The Sang et Or will aim to continue their impressive run and secure a sixth consecutive win before the winter break.
For OGC Nice, the situation could hardly be more difficult. The team has lost its last eight matches in all competitions, including five consecutive defeats in Ligue 1. Their most recent setback came in the Europa League, a 0-1 loss to Sporting Braga, which left them without a single point in the group stage. Domestically, they sit 12th in the standings, far from their early-season ambitions.
Nice’s recent numbers highlight their struggles: they have averaged only 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game over their last five matches. Their overall Ligue 1 record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average. Defensively, they have been fragile, having conceded at least one goal in their last 19 away matches. The same trend continues in the league, with goals conceded in each of their last 14 away fixtures.
Offensively, the Aiglons have found it difficult to create chances. Sofiane Diop remains their main attacking threat with six goals this season, but he has not scored in the last four matches. The absence of key players such as Tom Louchet (suspended) and several injured defenders has further weakened the team. Moreover, the ongoing tension between fans and players has affected morale, making this trip to Lens even more challenging. To make matters worse, Nice have lost at half time in their last five matches, showing how often they fall behind early.
This fixture brings together two teams at opposite ends of the form spectrum. Lens are flying high, unbeaten in their last five matches, while Nice are struggling to find stability. The hosts’ attacking rhythm and defensive organization make them clear favourites. Historically, Lens have not enjoyed great success against Nice, with only one draw and four defeats in their last five head-to-head meetings, but current form suggests that trend could change.
Lens’s ability to score consistently in the second half could once again prove decisive, especially against a Nice side that tends to concede late goals. The visitors’ defensive frailties and lack of confidence away from home make this a daunting challenge. Meanwhile, the home side’s energy and pressing style are likely to keep the Aiglons under constant pressure. Given the statistics, over 0.5 goals in the second half appears highly probable once again, as it has been in most of Lens’s recent matches.
For Nice, the key will be to stay compact and avoid early mistakes. However, their recent performances suggest that even maintaining defensive discipline could be difficult against a Lens team full of confidence and attacking options. The hosts’ strong home record and the visitors’ poor away form point towards a one-sided contest.
BetMines prediction for Lens vs Nice: Home Win (1) with 60% probability. The draw is estimated at 22%, while an away win stands at 18%. Given the current dynamics, Lens’s winning momentum and Nice’s ongoing slump, the most likely outcome is another victory for the league leaders.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lens
Nice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
6
4
10
0